Failing that we may see some small NE windswell next week from the high as it sets up a NE flow in the Tasmanian swell window.
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The surf will be great tomorrow and Friday morning before fading into the weekend.
We’ll see the low move slowly out to sea later tomorrow with large stormy swells for East Tas slowly easing and improving in quality.
We’ll then see a few days of elevated surf with strong winds to low end gales in the southern flank of the low aimed up at Tasmania.
A low moves through Bass Strait Sun and looks to stall for days with swell producing winds aimed up straight at Tasmania’s east coast.
A front moving into the Tasman Tues then interacts with the low, causing a robust deepening of the low and a complex pattern as a trough spins off the low and moves north while a further trough of low pressure forms off to the south.
We’ve currently got a deep polar low with two strong embedded fronts tracking NE into the lower Tasman. High pressure moves up over NSW with light winds Sat, tending NW Sun as high pressure moves to the NE and a front passes to the south.
It’s an impressive fetch with severe gale to storm force winds in a wide band moving NE, only offset by winds being not perfectly aimed up the pipe.
Tomorrow will be great across open beaches ahead of a windy south swell Wednesday, best as it eases.
As it does it aims up the fetch of E/NE winds into the NETas swell window and we’ll see increasing swells from the NE direction o/night and into Sat.