The front passing Thurs is followed by a trough and more well angled SW-S fetch which will see some short range S swell build to 2-3ft during the day.
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Still on track for S pulses this week for the first week of spring.
Still on track for a wintry blast this weekend as a strong cold front tied to an intense low currently west of Tasmania sweeps up over the SE overnight and enters the Tasman early tomorrow morning.
A powerful front and low forming near Tasmania drives gales up from the Bight over the inland of the SE of the continent, then re-enters the Tasman as SW gales to severe gales early Sat morning.
These low centres are focussing areas of E’ly to NE’ly infeed along the trough line- perfectly aimed at east coast targets all the way down to Tasmania.
Surf-wise, whatever configuration of low pressure we end up getting, a broad E’ly infeed in the Southern Coral Sea and Northern Tasman as well as one off the South Coast aimed at Tasmania will generate plenty of E/NE’ly swell into early-mid week.
We’ll see the NE’ly flow continue to develop in the Northern Tasman and Coral Seas through this week, with swells from that E-NE quadrant building through this short term period under an onshore flow.
The dominant player is a massive high moving through the Bight and expected to drift over and eastwards of Tasmania tomorrow to occupy the Tasman for most of the week.
We may see a deepening trough and E/NE-NE infeed dip south later next week bringing some sizey E/NE-NE swell to Tas next weekend.
SE-E/SE swell is the main swell next week as the low remains slow moving in the eastern Tasman.