COVID-19 Health System Overload Forecaster

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Craig started the topic in Wednesday, 18 Mar 2020 at 7:44pm

I've created a spreadsheet forecast which I'll update as we go..

There's also a website with live running data.. https://sites.google.com/view/stayhomeaustralia

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indo-dreaming Tuesday, 23 Nov 2021 at 8:31pm
Stok wrote:
Blowin wrote:

Rubbish. Humans unite beautifully in a legitimate situation.

The only unison I've seen out of this recent debacle is far right activist and wellness social media personalities joining forces to remind everyone just how self centred and privileged they really are.

You might want to check out these protest out a bit more, no matter our feelings on their views, it's well documented with footage and interviews that the crowd is super diverse ,there's far right, there's moderate right, there a whole heap of people whom normally I'm sure don't have an interest in politics let's just call them the centre, then there is moderate left and far left people the whole new age hippy types, the ages and demographics are all over the place too, teens to family to very old people, and super multicultural all ethnic groups and skin colours are represented, even indigenous people.

It's a pretty rare thing to see such a diverse range of people and political leanings come together on something.

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shortenism Tuesday, 23 Nov 2021 at 8:58pm

From the Herald Sun the other day.. you all heard about the 10 year old...

Headline: ‘Child under 10 dies with Covid-19 in Victoria”

Same article: “it was revealed that Covid-19 was not the cause for either his hospitalisation or death”

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burleigh Tuesday, 23 Nov 2021 at 9:07pm
Stok][quote=Blowin wrote:

Hopefully haven't been touched by covid yet (unless you have?). I know chances are it's not going to kill you, but there's plenty of nasty diseases and viruses out there that DON'T kill you, but can knock you down for days, weeks or months. By all reports there's a fairly good chance covid will do this.

Yet Covid is the only virus that they mandate you have the jab to get paid in most industries. An experimental Jab.

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GuySmiley Tuesday, 23 Nov 2021 at 9:09pm
Supafreak wrote:
GuySmiley wrote:

Heard on the news today some anti vaxxers are worried if the get the jab they become a personal 5G hotspot!

Surely this can’t be true, are people so F stupid, anyone else heard this?

Busted! Haha

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burleigh Tuesday, 23 Nov 2021 at 9:11pm

https://fb.watch/9stY1E7YhK/ live feed of current protest at Parliament House in Melbourne

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Roadkill Tuesday, 23 Nov 2021 at 9:23pm
burleigh wrote:

https://fb.watch/9stY1E7YhK/ live feed of current protest at Parliament House in Melbourne

About 100 people..lol

Will be reported by the anti vax dullards as, hundreds of thousands.

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burleigh Tuesday, 23 Nov 2021 at 9:31pm
Roadkill wrote:
burleigh wrote:

https://fb.watch/9stY1E7YhK/ live feed of current protest at Parliament House in Melbourne

About 100 people..lol

Will be reported by the anti vax dullards as, hundreds of thousands.

Its Tuesday night Roadkill. Wait until this weekend. It will be bigger than the last. I guarantee it.

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Alana_a Tuesday, 23 Nov 2021 at 9:34pm
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Roadkill Tuesday, 23 Nov 2021 at 9:44pm
burleigh wrote:
Roadkill wrote:
burleigh wrote:

https://fb.watch/9stY1E7YhK/ live feed of current protest at Parliament House in Melbourne

About 100 people..lol

Will be reported by the anti vax dullards as, hundreds of thousands.

Its Tuesday night Roadkill. Wait until this weekend. It will be bigger than the last. I guarantee it.

It does seem to be getting more support…people I never expected to protest went to the Brissy one last week.

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Roadkill Tuesday, 23 Nov 2021 at 9:47pm

The funniest thing I find is’ Real Rukshan has deluded himself into thinking he is some kind of journalist.

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burleigh Tuesday, 23 Nov 2021 at 9:51pm
Roadkill wrote:

The funniest thing I find is’ Real Rukshan has deluded himself into thinking he is some kind of journalist.

He's the man at the Melbourne protests, live streaming for hours and hours, live raw footage.

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Vic Local Tuesday, 23 Nov 2021 at 9:53pm

While the complete morons spend another Saturday at another Freedumb rally, I'll be going surfing, catching up with a couple of mates for a few beers and then taking the family out to dinner. About the only thing that will be different to the pre-covid times will be having to sign in with a QR code.
But hey, it's a free country and if people want to march through the streets yelling What do we want FREEDUMB, when do we want is NOW, they have every right to do that.
Enjoy your FREEDUMB blokes.

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Roadkill Tuesday, 23 Nov 2021 at 9:57pm
Vic Local wrote:

While the complete morons spend another Saturday at another Freedumb rally, I'll be going surfing, catching up with a couple of mates for a few beers and then taking the family out to dinner. About the only thing that will be different to the pre-covid times will be having to sign in with a QR code.
But hey, it's a free country and if people want to march through the streets yelling What do we want FREEDUMB, when do we want is NOW, they have every right to do that.
Enjoy your FREEDUMB blokes.

Bullshit…we are in a police state. Cops will catch you and kick your head in, then you disappear. #policestatefordummies

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Vic Local Tuesday, 23 Nov 2021 at 10:12pm

"He's the man at the Melbourne protests, live streaming for hours and hours, live raw footage."
I thought Avi the wife bashing gnome grifter was the man?
Did anyone see the video of the bloke yelling "Where's ya chopping board wife basher" while Yemini was trying to do a segment for his grifter show? Bloody hilarious.
I also like the one where some women getting arrested was yelling "Save me Avi" while the wife basher was do some filming. What did the little shit flog do? He filmed her and put it on his money grabbling website. "Save me" Ha Ha. Like Avi was ever going to do anything but use her for his own financial gain. What a shit human being that bloke is.

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burleigh Tuesday, 23 Nov 2021 at 10:10pm
Vic Local wrote:

"He's the man at the Melbourne protests, live streaming for hours and hours, live raw footage."
I thought Avi the wife bashing gnome grifter was the man?
Did anyone see the video of the bloke yelling "Where's ya chopping board wife basher" while Yemini was trying to do a segment for his grifter show? Bloody hilarious.
I also like the one where some women getting arrested was yelling "Save me Avi" while the wife basher was do some filming. What did the little shit flog do? He filmed her and put it on his money grabbling website. "Save me" Ha Ha. Like Avi was ever going to do anything but use her for his own financial gain. What shit human being that bloke is.

Rukshan is cool but you're right, Avi is a dick. we can agree on that.

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bluediamond Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 12:21am
Vic Local wrote:

While the complete morons spend another Saturday at another Freedumb rally, I'll be going surfing, catching up with a couple of mates for a few beers and then taking the family out to dinner. About the only thing that will be different to the pre-covid times will be having to sign in with a QR code.
But hey, it's a free country and if people want to march through the streets yelling What do we want FREEDUMB, when do we want is NOW, they have every right to do that.
Enjoy your FREEDUMB blokes.

Hey VL. Just out of curiosity, do you know anyone that attended the rallies? Such big numbers would suggest by degrees of separation you'd maybe know someone. And if so, whats your general thoughts towards them? Could extend this question to other crew in the Vicco region, although i know you're not Melbs. Just wondering how it all fits together for ya. Personally i don't know anyone that went. It does appear to be a huge cross section of society, and if that's the case (footage doesn't lie...or does it),...i'd find it pretty incredible you'd paint everybody there with the same brush and not at least be open minded to the WHY...of so many seemingly normal humans like you and me giving up their Saturdays, to go to some scungy city, to march for something they most probably really don't want to. Your thoughts?

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Vic Local Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 6:25am

Blue Dismond. I know two people who attend these rallies and both were popular members of our community.
Both went down the Qanon rabbit hole. Friends tried to help but with no success. Their lives have been ruined and it’s broken up families. The only people these two hang out with now is other cooked units. They are now unemployable.
It’s all very sad, so you’ll have to excuse my complete contempt for the evil “journalists” and political opportunists promoting these events.

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indo-dreaming Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 6:47am
Roadkill wrote:

The funniest thing I find is’ Real Rukshan has deluded himself into thinking he is some kind of journalist.

He is more of a journalist than most of the mainstream.

He provides live footage to these protest from the ground showing us exactly what is happening, showing us how diverse the crowd is and allowing people to speak and tell us why they are there he provides an insight into the 99% aspect of what is happening and views of the 99% at these events.

Meanwhile most of the mainstream media provide a tiny snap shot of the protest, often seconds of very selected footage with a opinion of their own, footage that often represents 1% of what is happening and 1% of peoples views, the radical fringe, because this is a much better news story than the 99% aspect.

So who is really a journalist?

Those reporting what's really happening or those reporting what gets clicks?

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Vic Local Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 7:14am

Rukshan a journalist?
Haaaaaa Haaaaaa.
He's not a journalist's backside. He doesn't abide by the code of ethics, doesn't face any disciplinary action when he breaches them, doesn't work in the media, doesn't present both sides of arguments in a truthful manner, and doesn't publish anything that contradicts his pre-conceived opinions.
He's just a very amateur camera pointer / shit talker..
Oh and by the way, we all know what happens when professional journos cover the protests and try and speak to the mob. They get physically attacked. That isn't a one off either.

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Roadkill Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 7:23am
indo-dreaming wrote:
Roadkill wrote:

The funniest thing I find is’ Real Rukshan has deluded himself into thinking he is some kind of journalist.

He is more of a journalist than most of the mainstream.

He provides live footage to these protest from the ground showing us exactly what is happening, showing us how diverse the crowd is and allowing people to speak and tell us why they are there he provides an insight into the 99% aspect of what is happening and views of the 99% at these events.

Meanwhile most of the mainstream media provide a tiny snap shot of the protest, often seconds of very selected footage with a opinion of their own, footage that often represents 1% of what is happening and 1% of peoples views, the radical fringe, because this is a much better news story than the 99% aspect.

So who is really a journalist?

Those reporting what's really happening or those reporting what gets clicks?

He is a journalist only to the stupid. He plays to a support group, with a bias. Tbh, he is all about likes and clickbait to increase his support base.

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Michael Adam Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 8:39am

Hey Vocal, if you are a real person, quick question: Where would we be now if no one pushed back or protested or questioned our governments movements regarding covid measures. If we all just accepted and went along with every new law and mandate. Just like you do. Have a little think about it. What do you reckon?

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Supafreak Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 8:59am

Any predictions for where we will be next winter ?

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Snuffy Smith Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 9:08am
Michael Adam wrote:

Hey Vocal, if you are a real person, quick question: Where would we be now if no one pushed back or protested or questioned our governments movements regarding covid measures. If we all just accepted and went along with every new law and mandate. Just like you do. Have a little think about it. What do you reckon?

Probably 6 months ahead of where we should be? Maybe no disease in N.T communities.

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shortenism Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 9:47am

Ah roadkill.. Whilst I do agree that Rukshan has kind of elevated himself beyond what he needs to be, in true entrepreneurial spirit he's found a gap in the market and is capitalising on it. Good on him. Why shoot him down?

You have to agree (or in your case accept) that there is damning evidence of the deceit of the main media and in reality they are essentially PR agencies for government propaganda. Remember 'govern-ment' = 'govern the mind'. People are crying out for the likes of Rukshan.

Bias? How is Rukshan walking through the middle of a mass protests showing the true cross section and sheer numbers of Australians making it known they don't accept?

Side note, given this deadly disease how many of those dangerous extreme protesters who dared to not wear masks, not be vaccinated and not stand 1.5m apart drop dead in the streets from rampid COVID?

Scam 101.

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john_c Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 10:25am
Michael Adam wrote:

Hey Vocal, if you are a real person, quick question: Where would we be now if no one pushed back or protested or questioned our governments movements regarding covid measures. If we all just accepted and went along with every new law and mandate. Just like you do. Have a little think about it. What do you reckon?

If all the dumb cnuts just got their little needle they're all so scared about, they wouldn't need to protest and we would be even further ahead with opening up and no need for mandates.

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blindboy Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 10:37am
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blindboy Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 10:42am
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burleigh Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 10:45am
blindboy wrote:

Interesting piece on long covid.
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-021-03495-2?utm_source=Nature+Bri...

Great to see the image they used is accurate. An obese human, which is the common theme with ICU patients with covid.

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overthefalls Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 10:48am

My uncle in London is still suffering from long covid and he was fit and healthy before he got it.

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burleigh Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 10:48am
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burleigh Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 10:50am
john_c wrote:
Michael Adam wrote:

Hey Vocal, if you are a real person, quick question: Where would we be now if no one pushed back or protested or questioned our governments movements regarding covid measures. If we all just accepted and went along with every new law and mandate. Just like you do. Have a little think about it. What do you reckon?

If all the dumb cnuts just got their little needle they're all so scared about, they wouldn't need to protest and we would be even further ahead with opening up and no need for mandates.

Ive read some stupid things here, but this takes the title.

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shortenism Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 10:55am

john-c?? Wohaa... Just get the needle so we can get on with life...?

How about you just get fkd in the ass so you can keep your job? This is the challenge, getting ppl like you to realise getting bent over, before during and/or after the fact isn't cool.

The reason they are protesting isn't because of a little needle. Sensible ppl can see it starts with a little needle (x2), then its one every 6 months, then its something else and something else and something else and by that point your an owned little biatch.

Remember, this all started with a 2 week lock-down to 'flatten the curve'. 2 years later ppl on mass are losing jobs, being separated from family, being coerced into doing shit they don't want to do and quarantine camps are popping up like hot cakes. All the while they give away free donuts, beers and even a $1M lottery, all that good stuff! To get the braindead over the line quickly.

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overthefalls Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 10:54am

Bitchute? Are you serious? It's a platform for far right-wing commentary, hate speech and conspiracy theories.

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burleigh Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 10:57am
overthefalls wrote:

Bitchute? Are you serious? It's a platform for far right-wing commentary, hate speech and conspiracy theories.

sorry it wasnt posted on news.com for you to trust.

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blindboy Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 11:04am

Ha ha ha. He explains, possibly even correctly, why the vaccine CAN produce blood clots, and then goes on to assert that this process is absolutely inevitable....which the huge amount of existing data on vaccine side effects clearly proves is misleading to the point of being a straight -forward lie. Blood clots are a rare side effect.

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burleigh Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 11:06am
blindboy wrote:

Ha ha ha. He explains, possibly even correctly, why the vaccine CAN produce blood clots, and then goes on to assert that this process is absolutely inevitable....which the huge amount of existing data on vaccine side effects clearly proves is misleading to the point of being a straight -forward lie. Blood clots are a rare side effect.

Huge amount of existing data? A HUGE 18 months worth?

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john_c Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 11:07am
shortenism wrote:

john-c?? Wohaa... Just get the needle so we can get on with life...?

How about you just get fkd in the ass so you can keep your job? This is the challenge, getting ppl like you to realise getting bent over, before during and/or after the fact isn't cool.

The reason they are protesting isn't because of a little needle. Sensible ppl can see it starts with a little needle (x2), then its one every 6 months, then its something else and something else and something else and by that point your an owned little biatch.

Remember, this all started with a 2 week lock-down to 'flatten the curve'. 2 years later ppl on mass are losing jobs, being separated from family, being coerced into doing shit they don't want to do and quarantine camps are popping up like hot cakes. All the while they give away free donuts, beers and even a $1M lottery, all that good stuff! To get the braindead over the line quickly.

You mean 5% of 'sensible people' who refuse to do the right thing for their community? So what if you need to get a booster once (or even twice) a year, I don't get the massive deal you anti-vax people are making about it.

What is it that makes this 5% think they are so special? Too many drugs during the course of their lifetime has created a state of paranoia for many, others are just selfish libertarian arseholes, while some are generally deluded from their steady diet of 'alternative media'.

I work in education and yes we need to be double vaxxed, or find another career - pretty simple really.

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blindboy Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 11:10am

The charming approach to debate from the freedumb fighters goes on. Hey shortensim, how about you refrain from revealing your sexual inadequacies by throwing sexual insults?

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overthefalls Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 11:18am

Hey Burleigh, when it comes to information about covid, I listen to neither the government, nor the media; I prefer to go straight to the medical experts themselves, some of whom are close family members and friends.

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blindboy Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 11:24am

"Huge amount of existing data? A HUGE 18 months worth?"

38 milllion in Australia alone, sounds pretty huge to me....before even considering the hundreds of millions of doses delivered globally.

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burleigh Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 11:30am
blindboy wrote:

"Huge amount of existing data? A HUGE 18 months worth?"

38 milllion in Australia alone, sounds pretty huge to me....before even considering the hundreds of millions of doses delivered globally.

you conveniently didn't mention or respond to only 18 months though blindboy.

Edit: only 9 months in Australia. lol

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blindboy Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 11:37am

Side effects of vaccines are short term. If you have any evidence of long term side effects from ANY vaccine, feel free to post it.

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burleigh Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 11:39am

Take your juice kids, it will keep you safe.

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blindboy Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 11:40am

Quick change the subject! No evidence then burley?

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burleigh Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 11:41am
blindboy wrote:

Side effects of vaccines are short term. If you have any evidence of long term side effects from ANY vaccine, feel free to post it.

You have just proved how stupid you are Blindboy. The reason there is no longterm side effects from other vaccines is that they are never approved this early. normally a 7 - 10 year clinical trail period.

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overthefalls Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 11:42am

Just as well Oscar was vaccinated; if not, he might be dead.

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blindboy Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 11:43am

No mate the reason there are no long term effects from vaccines is that the antigens they contain are quickly removed from the body leaving the antibodies to do their job.

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burleigh Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 11:44am
overthefalls wrote:

Just as well Oscar was vaccinated; if not, he might be dead.

data would prove you wrong there.

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burleigh Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 11:45am
blindboy wrote:

No mate the reason there are no long term effects from vaccines is that the antigens they contain are quickly removed from the body leaving the antibodies to do their job.

Except the covid vaccine doesnt do its job. But you be a good boy and line up for your boosters, how ever many you will need,

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overthefalls Wednesday, 24 Nov 2021 at 11:47am

The usual 7-10 year trial period consists mostly of red tape, as well as sourcing funds and trial subjects. They cut through these hindrances because it was a global crisis.