COVID-19 Health System Overload Forecaster


TD, what about the effect on serious illness/death?
Is that longer lasting according to your understanding?




burleigh wrote:https://www.instagram.com/p/CZQesM9PynA/?utm_medium=copy_link
Funny, but a bogus analogy from somebody who thinks he knows better than everybody else because he was a great basketball player. Similar ilk to Pat Cash.


Long term side effects obviously unknown Freeride. Some rapid onset adverse events can have lifelong consequences, like the clotting for example.
Neurological issues, malignancy, fertility effects will remain to be seen


I mean the effects on reducing illness/death from Covid.
Does that endure past 3 months according to your understanding?


burleigh wrote:https://www.instagram.com/p/CZQesM9PynA/?utm_medium=copy_link
Nah....we don't have lots of other forms of protection, but do have other forms of contraception.
Also, we figured out how pregancy works quite a while ago. Covid is novel.


Not sure Freeride. Some Israeli scientists have apparently recommended against a second booster (4th dose).
At the start when they said the vaccines last 12 months then you need a booster I believed them.
At each stage when they bought forward the timeframe from 6 to 5 to 4 to 3 months I believed them.
I guess soon we’ll work both out: how long the boosters last and whether the 4th dose is worth it


burleigh wrote:https://www.instagram.com/p/CZQesM9PynA/?utm_medium=copy_link
This clown would probably try and compare COVID with polio. Like, only a total idiot would.


The third shot (1st booster) is suppose to give you about 70% effectiveness but after 3 months you are down to 50% effectiveness, then 4 months down to 40% etc.
I think the 4th shot 2nd booster pushes you up to 90% effectiveness for a while
Recent article on it
https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2022/01/19/1071809356/covid-bo...


Love it how you fools get so triggered by an instagram post. yet this morning i posted about a 7 year old with pericarditis including the report number and there was silence.


You're talking yourself up, burleigh. Nothing you say or post triggers anyone on here.
It's more.....we just laugh at how stupid you actually are :)


Haha! Thanks for sharing Craig, that's as good as it gets!
Imagine how afraid you must be day to day, thinking you could breathe in spike proteins from the 90% vaccinated population.....
Also - LOL - how do you almost enter a coma?


For sure that’s Fake news, Craig.
That’s as much made up bullsh1t as when Blindboy tried to claim that naturally aquired immunity was less effective than the vaccines at suppressing Covid.
How can a science teacher hate science so much?
Just more covid misinformation to wade through from the Covid Cultists. When their shouty declarations are routinely disproven, they pretend it never happened.


burleigh wrote:Love it how you fools get so triggered by an instagram post. yet this morning i posted about a 7 year old with pericarditis including the report number and there was silence.
Bogut has been a constant whinger right thoughout the whole event of covid. He's the epitome of self centred-ness. He frequently posts low brow memes which are plain wrong and get cheap laughs out of similar minded folk to him - all while covid rampages around the world.
Of course it's farked up to imagine any young child having a reaction such as that, it's not something any of us are really in a position to discuss, and it certainly shouldn't be something to use as a basis for your disregard of the seriousness of covid and the neccessity of vaccinations.


indo-dreaming wrote:The third shot (1st booster) is suppose to give you about 70% effectiveness but after 3 months you are down to 50% effectiveness, then 4 months down to 40% etc.
I think the 4th shot 2nd booster pushes you up to 90% effectiveness for a while
Recent article on it
https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2022/01/19/1071809356/covid-bo...
This is still not bad, I have a flu shot every year and I think it's about 50%.


Blowin wrote:For sure that’s Fake news, Craig.
That’s as much made up bullsh1t as when Blindboy tried to claim that naturally aquired immunity was less effective than the vaccines at suppressing Covid.
How can a science teacher hate science so much?
Just more covid misinformation to wade through from the Covid Cultists. When their shouty declarations are routinely disproven, they pretend it never happened.
How come when Robo posted 3/4 family members had developed cancer from the vaccine...you never called it out as "made up bullshit", blowin?
That gets a pass but craig's post gets called out?
(how very selective of you)


they are funny, need more of that stuff in here




Roadkill wrote:Blowin wrote:For sure that’s Fake news, Craig.
That’s as much made up bullsh1t as when Blindboy tried to claim that naturally aquired immunity was less effective than the vaccines at suppressing Covid.
How can a science teacher hate science so much?
Just more covid misinformation to wade through from the Covid Cultists. When their shouty declarations are routinely disproven, they pretend it never happened.
How come when Robo posted 3/4 family members had developed cancer from the vaccine...you never called it out as "made up bullshit", blowin?
That gets a pass but craig's post gets called out?
(how very selective of you)
Because Robo presented his as anecdotal whilst Blindboy presented his as established and indisputable scientific fact. He then used his “facts” to beat people over the head.
He even said those who were Anti - Science questioned the ridiculous notion that the millions-of-years-old naturally aquired immunity was bettered by a hastily invented vaccine which had underachiever at every measure.
He also declared that those who questioned his lie were dangerous to public health and should be officially silenced.
That’s the difference between Robo and Sicko.


Blowin wrote:Roadkill wrote:Blowin wrote:For sure that’s Fake news, Craig.
That’s as much made up bullsh1t as when Blindboy tried to claim that naturally aquired immunity was less effective than the vaccines at suppressing Covid.
How can a science teacher hate science so much?
Just more covid misinformation to wade through from the Covid Cultists. When their shouty declarations are routinely disproven, they pretend it never happened.
How come when Robo posted 3/4 family members had developed cancer from the vaccine...you never called it out as "made up bullshit", blowin?
That gets a pass but craig's post gets called out?
(how very selective of you)Because Robo presented his as anecdotal whilst Blindboy presented his as established and indisputable scientific fact. He then used his “facts” to beat people over the head.
He even said those who were Anti - Science questioned the ridiculous notion that the millions-of-years-old naturally aquired immunity was bettered by a hastily invented vaccine which had underachiever at every measure.
He also declared that those who questioned his lie were dangerous to public health and should be officially silenced.
That’s the difference between Robo and Sicko.
More it suits your agenda...all good. Carry on.
ps, I was talking about Craig's post getting called out. Yet you focused onBB and ignored answering. As usual.


Craig wrote:Oh wait, it's been topped.. I quit.
Why would they want to make a big deal out of demonstrating the power of their weapon and then not tell anyone what they’d done?
The Empire made no secret of the Death Star’s power to blow up planets. They were stoked on its performance. Rightfully so! Whatever your feelings about Alderan, the Empire sure showed the rebels how to build a fucking space station.


Is natural immunity more effective than vaccines in preventing serious illness due to covid? There’s not a great deal of evidence either way due to complex variables.


Craig wrote:Oh wait, it's been topped.. I quit.
No ash? My arse.


overthefalls wrote:Is natural immunity more effective than vaccines in preventing serious illness due to covid? There’s not a great deal of evidence either way due to complex variables.
You’ll have to take that up with the US CDC who finally admitted it to be so a few days ago.


overthefalls wrote:Is natural immunity more effective than vaccines in preventing serious illness due to covid? There’s not a great deal of evidence either way due to complex variables.
Protection with booster shots offers better protection than natural immunity.


Roadkill wrote:overthefalls wrote:Is natural immunity more effective than vaccines in preventing serious illness due to covid? There’s not a great deal of evidence either way due to complex variables.
Protection with booster shots offers better protection than natural immunity.
Lol.


Just when you think it can’t get any more fanciful and ridiculous, just when you’re certain that the public is going to simultaneously pissing themselves laughing cause they’ve all just realise they’ve been had, you get this stuff….
“Health minister Greg Hunt has stated that those infected with Omicron will still need to get booster shots:
“If you have had omicron, but the simple message is – you still need to be boosted. We want all Australians to come forward to be boosted and once you cleared your symptoms, then it’s appropriate for you to come forward so long as you are eligible for your dose.”
Lolololol
Give it up you silly hunt!


Blowin wrote:overthefalls wrote:Is natural immunity more effective than vaccines in preventing serious illness due to covid? There’s not a great deal of evidence either way due to complex variables.
You’ll have to take that up with the US CDC who finally admitted it to be so a few days ago.
Thanks, Blowin. Could you provide a link?


Protection is also increased if a no vaxxed person gets covid and then has a booster once recovered.


Canadian truckers rule pic.twitter.com/c6t66SC0dU
— Jacek Dudkowiak 🇵🇱 (@DkJacek) January 27, 2022


How are the authorities going to get the booster numbers up....mmmmmm I wonder.


overthefalls wrote:Is natural immunity more effective than vaccines in preventing serious illness due to covid? There’s not a great deal of evidence either way due to complex variables.
Funny you mention that.. I was at my doctors this morn' and he said there was? Something to do with the number of pathogens you build immunity to after having caught the virus over injecting the smaller number of spike proteins within the vaccine. He referenced the CDC on that one. The crazy part about our catch up was he told me that he has had two shots of pfizer and two shots of AZ! I asked why the hell did you do that. He said he is not afraid of them nor concerned about the risks, and that he was going to have to take them anyway, so why not? Hard to argue so I didn't bother asking anymore about it. Also said that if you give everyone in the world panadol some crew will keel over, it's just the way it is with medicine.
The very next sentence he said about a month prior he realized his family are displaying Covid symptoms; wife has a cough, the kids are sick and he isn't. He gets tested and the results come back +. Absolutely no symptoms for him. His family display the classic ones but nothing serious. Shitload of information (hard to know what to make of it all) to take in this morning haha and left feeling even more confused in a light hearted way though. The only thing that he doesn't agree with is the vaccine mandates. Interesting morning for sure. I enjoyed the candour from him.


From what I’ve read, the CDC stated that natural immunity was more effective when delta was the dominant strain and that the effectiveness of natural immunity with omicron is not fully understood yet. The CDC also warned that both vaccines and natural immunity have declined with the new dominant variant.


Twisted Sister have been pretty vocal about telling the anti-everything freedom at all costs brigade to NOT use their song.
Lead singer also had covid, and was glad he was vaccinated.


Blowin wrote:.......finally admitted........
Is it just me, or is this phrase used like 100 times a day by the USA far right anti vax crew?
The other classic one is 'What we've known all along'.
For example:
'The Biden administration finally admitted what we've know all along, that freedom rocks, and no one should take any medicine or vaccine ever'.


Stok wrote:Blowin wrote:.......finally admitted........
Is it just me, or is this phrase used like 100 times a day by the USA far right anti vax crew?
The other classic one is 'What we've known all along'.
For example:
'The Biden administration finally admitted what we've know all along, that freedom rocks, and no one should take any medicine or vaccine ever'.
It’s just you.
Congrats on another attempt to delegitimise a post without referring to the actual topic. A personal specialty of yours!


overthefalls wrote:Blowin wrote:overthefalls wrote:Is natural immunity more effective than vaccines in preventing serious illness due to covid? There’s not a great deal of evidence either way due to complex variables.
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/71/wr/mm7104e1.htm
You’ll have to take that up with the US CDC who finally admitted it to be so a few days ago.
Thanks, Blowin. Could you provide a link?


Roadkill wrote:Protection is also increased if a no vaxxed person gets covid and then has a booster once recovered.
Seriously bloke, you’re so broken that every time you post all I hear you saying is “ It rubs the lotion on its skin or it gets the hose again “.


Blowin wrote:Roadkill wrote:Protection is also increased if a no vaxxed person gets covid and then has a booster once recovered.
Seriously bloke, you’re so broken that every time you post all I hear you saying is “ It rubs the lotion on its skin or it gets the hose again “.
funny, when you talk all I hear is lies.
whatever..lol




Stok wrote:Twisted Sister have been pretty vocal about telling the anti-everything freedom at all costs brigade to NOT use their song.
Lead singer also had covid, and was glad he was vaccinated.
Do you understand that the truckies protest is about mandates not vaccination ? The majority of truckies are vaccinated, it has been stated that this is anti - mandates not anti- vaccination, weird how you can’t figure this out .


Roadkill wrote:Blowin wrote:Roadkill wrote:Protection is also increased if a no vaxxed person gets covid and then has a booster once recovered.
Seriously bloke, you’re so broken that every time you post all I hear you saying is “ It rubs the lotion on its skin or it gets the hose again “.
funny, when you talk all I hear is lies.
whatever..lol
Name a single lie I’ve said on this thread.


aaron61 wrote:Hmm.
https://www.theblaze.com/news/fauci-children-ages-4-and-under-will-likel...
Fauci told people that you got AIDS by being in the same room as someone infected and through normal contact , not exchanging bodily fluids.
Fauci has been a lying clown since dot.


Roadkill wrote:overthefalls wrote:Is natural immunity more effective than vaccines in preventing serious illness due to covid? There’s not a great deal of evidence either way due to complex variables.
Protection with booster shots offers better protection than natural immunity.
Hahahahahahaha ok you gronk


NEIL YOUNG - When you are SO WOKE... you cancel yourself. !!
pmsl .
***Trigger Warning.
I hope Neil Young will remember... southern man don't need him around anyhow,


aaron61 wrote:Hmm.
https://www.theblaze.com/news/fauci-children-ages-4-and-under-will-likel...
Never forget that the initial justification for injecting kids was to prevent them from spreading it to parents. Now that the “vaccines prevent transmission“ scam has been walked back …..what’s the justification for injecting kids?
I've created a spreadsheet forecast which I'll update as we go..
There's also a website with live running data.. https://sites.google.com/view/stayhomeaustralia