A trough in advance of a strong high pressure cell and deeper Southern parent low is bringing a fresh S’ly flow to Eastern Tas today, with conditions rapidly shifting gears tomorrow as the large high drifts East of the state.
A high quickly slips E of Tas later Mon with NE winds developing and a potential NE windswell through Tues and Wed as winds feed into an inland trough.
A fun swell is on the way with it performing well across southern NSW.
Small but surfable swells for the week, mostly into Thursday.
A deeper fetch slingshotting NE from the Southern Ocean brings a much stronger S swell pulse Mon.
The high moves rapidly NE into the Tasman next week and that puts us back into NE windswell territory as winds increase off the South Coast and down to Bass Strait.
Unfortunately this strong cold outbreak now looks to stall just too far West (behind the swell shadow of Tasmania) to really deliver any strong S swell to the East Coast, before weakening as it moves into the Tasman Sea swell window proper. We will see small S swell pulses.
Through Sun we’ll see increasing NE-N winds, along with a vey well aimed fetch of NE winds off the Gippsland to Bass Strait stretch whipping up NE windswell.
Further south a deep polar low and frontal system is generating large swells, with traces of long period S swell refracting back into Eastern Tas over the coming days. A weak, troughy pattern is NE of Tas now with a high pressure system expected to drift over the state through Fri.
The troughy pattern will see rapid fire wind changes across Eastern Tasmania this week.