Incredibly, the low in the Tasman Sea is still active right now and will still be generating swell for Southern NSW throughout Saturday and into Sunday morning. With an approx 1.5-2 day lag time across the basin, this means we’ll see easterly swell through the first half of next week. More in the Forecaster Notes.
There'll be no let up in the large and dangerous conditions until next week across the southern NSW coast. Winds will slowly abate and improve.
A 'bombing low' will deliver a significant and dangerous round of south-easterly groundswell through the coming period, only suitable to the most experienced.
Just to be super picky - this low may not end up being an East Coast Low, but instead an Easterly Trough Low (or more common, a boring old Tasman Low). More in the Forecaster Notes.
Looks like the ECL tipped in Monday’s notes is going to eventuate next week. And therefore, we’re looking at some pretty large, windy surf for a few days. More in the Forecaster Notes.
On Wednesday, we’ll see the arrival of two overlapping swells, generated by a deep polar low that pushed up underneath Tasmania today and will tonight project a strong front through the lower Tasman Sea. More in the Forecaster Notes.
This polar low looks really good on the synoptics and will generate some excellent overlapping southerly swells. More in the Forecaster Notes.
The fetch responsible for the last few days of great waves has remained active off the west coast of New Zealand, though is now slowly weakening and rotating outside of our swell window. More in the Forecaster Notes.
The swell source was very strong and sustained - and indeed, still is - however it was off axis from our swell window, and this will affect not only the size of the swell reaching Southern NSW compared to its northern counterparts but also the consistency. More in the Forecaster Notes.
There’s been yet another rejig in the model output regarding a new surface low in the lower Tasman Sea this weekend. More in the Forecaster Notes.