Monday, 19 February 2024

Lots of fun beachbreak surf on tap for this week.

Friday, 16 February 2024

High pressure belt remains strong with cells lined up to enter the Tasman. A monsoonal low in the Gulf of Carpenteria is generating a long cloud band down the east coast. A long, broad E’ly tradewind fetch extends from the Coral Sea into the South Pacific with the tail of the fetch in Tahitian longitudes. 

Wednesday, 14 February 2024

Our current pattern of slow moving high pressure  near New Zealand is still well entrenched with a modest cold front sweeping into the Tasman and bringing a S’ly change to temperate NSW. Multiple cells of reinforcing high pressure then one by one move into the Tasman, maintaining a weak ridge up the NSW Coast and a deep E’ly flow through the South Pacific and Eastern Coral Sea, with resulting E’ly swells favouring the sub-tropics for size.

Monday, 12 February 2024

Large high in the Tasman directing plenty of E’ly-SE’ly tradewinds through the Coral Sea and South Pacific slot. Typical summer wind pattern with NE winds developing across temperate NSW, tending more E-E/SE in the sub-tropics.

Friday, 9 February 2024

We’ve got a very strong high pressure belt at the moment with a cell in the Tasman (twin cells actually, straddling New Zealand) and monster high moving in from the Bight. A trough off the NSW coast is focusing SE winds along the Eastern Seaboard, with a strong front/low traversing the Lower Tasman.

Wednesday, 7 February 2024

As Steve mentioned on Monday, the synoptic are quite complex at the moment.

Monday, 5 February 2024

To the south, a severe gale to storm force fetch off the ice shelf from a retrograding low under the South Island sends a rare S/SE groundswell up the Pipe, with another strong front/low late this week into the weekend expected to generate another pulse of S’ly groundswell over the weekend.

Friday, 2 February 2024

A deep low with strong gales currently tracking in a NE direction SE of Tasmania justifies an upgrade in size for this weekend.

Wednesday, 31 January 2024

The high pressure belt is weak and moving at a more N’ly latitude than we’ve seen this summer, with a troughy pattern in the Tasman and some frontal activity under the SE of the continent continuing. A much stronger front and parent low tracks NE into the lower Tasman late this week with a broad band of gales to strong gales expected to generate some strong S swell over the weekend.

Monday, 29 January 2024

Strong S swell expected this weekend as a front with gales to strong gales tied to a complex parent low drifts slowly through the far Southern Tasman.