S groundswell is still on the radar as a slow moving polar low tied to Fridays front skirts the southern edge of the swell window, over the weekend.
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/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/11/05/power-remains-low-and-over-the-weekend
freeride76
Wednesday, 6 November 2024
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/11/03/mediocre-outlook-week-little-more-the
freeride76
Monday, 4 November 2024
We’ll be relying on some small NE windswell episodes and great circle paths under the continent to deliver some flukey S groundswell short and medium term.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/11/01/mediocre-outlook-ne-windswell-sunmon-the
freeride76
Friday, 1 November 2024
High pressure slides into the Tasman off the Central NSW coast while the remnants of a front scoot across the Tasman. The front will have generated a small flush of S swell.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/10/30/grovel-days-ahead-low-energy-outlook
freeride76
Wednesday, 30 October 2024
We’re still looking at a fairly bland synoptic pattern with a weak, troughy environment in the Tasman, undergirded by zonal frontal activity well to the south. Some modest frontal activity pushes through late in the week with a developing N’ly flow on Sun set to provide some NE windswell.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/10/27/weak-troughy-pattern-in-the-tasman-week
freeride76
Monday, 28 October 2024
High pressure drifts into the Bight but weakens as the week progresses with a weak high cell budding off and moving NE into the Tasman. The result is a weak, troughy pattern in the Tasman and inland- unstable but not very surfy.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/10/24/energy-the-s-over-the-weekend-improving
freeride76
Friday, 25 October 2024
A complex but disjointed low has formed in the Tasman with diffuse centres off the North Coast and Tasmania/Gippsland coast. We’ll see various S swells generated by proximate and distal fetches from this system over the weekend and into next week.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/10/22/troughy-tasman-looks-deliver-more-low
freeride76
Wednesday, 23 October 2024
Lingering troughiness in the Tasman may see yet another low form next week- which would be the 4th successive surface low to form in October. Models are struggling to resolve this complex and unstable pattern so low confidence results.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/10/21/short-the-s-long-the-e-should-be-good
freeride76
Monday, 21 October 2024
The current low located near Lord Howe Island dissipates through today with easing winds along the Eastern Seaboard as a result. Weak pressure gradients then occupy the Tasman through the mid week, offering up good conditions as a long range E swell makes landfall.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/10/18/not-much-over-the-weekend-very-active
freeride76
Friday, 18 October 2024
A low is expected to move E of Tasmania o/night and form a broad low pressure trough in the Tasman driving W’ly then S’ly winds along the NSW coast before moving NE as a surface low over the weekend. That will be the second surface low in succession to form in the Tasman and we may yet see a third develop later next week.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/10/15/fun-waves-short-term-next-week-looking
freeride76
Wednesday, 16 October 2024
We still have low pressure roughly due east of the NSW/Victorian border buttressed by high pressure near New Zealand. It’s not a very strong system but we did see a little flare up on the southern flank o/night into this morning before the system began to dissipate, although it is expected to linger in the central Tasman
