The weekend outlook is also looking better, with Thursday’s southerly change expected to expand into a decent size fetch in the south-eastern Tasman Sea.
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/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2026/01/21/great-run-surf-outta-the-sse
thermalben
Wednesday, 21 January 2026
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2026/01/19/strong-easterly-groundswell-mid-week
thermalben
Monday, 19 January 2026
We’ve had a downgrade for this week’s coming east swell. But it’s still looking like being large, and fortunately conditions should be generally favourable with light winds.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2026/01/16/large-and-windy-few-days-then-large-and
thermalben
Friday, 16 January 2026
The latest model runs have the low’s core winds maintaining strength until late Sunday, which could slightly draw out the peak of this event into early Monday morning.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2026/01/14/extended-run-powerful-surf-albeit-windy
thermalben
Wednesday, 14 January 2026
What’s most interesting right now is that the latest model runs have suggested we may see the low’s axis sit a little further south than was expected in Monday’s update.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2026/01/12/mixed-grill-few-days-ahead-large-windy
thermalben
Monday, 12 January 2026
The low off the South Coast - possibly an East Coast Low - will dominate the weekend’s proceedings.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2026/01/08/active-period-ahead-still-lots
freeride76
Friday, 9 January 2026
Lots of uncertainty there but potential outcomes include the low/cyclone entering our swell window late next week/on the weekend and moving into the Tasman and conjoining with a trough of low pressure in the Tasman.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2026/01/07/ne-windswell-building-short-term-medium
freeride76
Wednesday, 7 January 2026
The trade fetch now looks to temporarily weaken over the weekend before resetting next week with some serious surf potential on the radar as a long trough forms in the Tasman and a tropical low moves westwards from New Caledonia.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2026/01/05/tropics-starting-fire-ne-windswell-the
freeride76
Monday, 5 January 2026
A proximate NE fetch to the NSW central/south coast also fires up later this week, bringing some chunky NE windswell late in the week and into the weekend.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2026/01/02/small-windswells-offer-some-rideable
freeride76
Friday, 2 January 2026
With weak pressure gradients across the full spectrum of the swell window from N to S we’re looking at not much action for next week.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2025/12/31/pumping-new-years-day-then-not-much
freeride76
Wednesday, 31 December 2025
The intense low near New Zealand has now dissipated after generating strong E’ly through E/SE’ly swells for the east coast.
