A good but inconsistent S/SE groundswell for tomorrow looks to be the highlight of the week.
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Into next week and Tues offers some potential with models picking up some long period S/SE groundswell generated by a slow moving polar low around the edge of the Antarctic ice shelf in the vicinity of the Ross Sea.
A building N/NE swell with improving offshore winds should provide great surf tomorrow.
The coming week looks to be the best of the period.
SW gales push through Bass Strait and adjacent to the Tasmanian East Coast Sun night and into Mon.
To the south we are seeing strong, but zonal frontal activity which will impact the Island state with local winds and S swells later next week.
Action from the south is on the radar for next week, after an extended period of tropical action dies down. First cab off the rank is a frontal system and trough which looks to push across Tas later Sun into the Tasman o/night into Mon.
We should see a round of NE windswell Wed as high pressure in the Tasman and an approaching cut-off low briefly tighten pressure gradients with NE winds increasing and swell building during the day.
Massive surf from the Moreton Bay Islands across the Gold Coast and down through Northern NSW will continue until the cyclone crossing, with much smaller surf on the Sunshine Coast and into temperate NSW and down to Tasmania.
Alfred is expected to move SE today, generating mod to large swells down the NSW coast (it’s already solid in the sub-tropics!) and reaching all the way down to Tasmania.