So, today’s large windy south swell is at its peak, and will trend down steadily through Thursday.
All eyes are on an advancing cold front that’s expected to sweep across the state on Tuesday night.
We’re at a low point in the swell department, so any weekend surf will be new energy.
The storm track will shift further to the east, allowing SW gales to exit eastern Bass Strait and this will set up a building short range southerly swell.
Now that the weekend’s low has cleared our swell window, and the Tasman Sea is devoid is swell generating activity, we’re having to look further afield for swell prospects.
A Tasman Low is developing off the coast and will be a source of strong surf this weekend.
We have some new south swell building across the coast from a series of fronts that pushed underneath Tasmania over the last few days.
The trough block is slowly pushing eastwards under the influence of a regional frontal progression.
Look, I’m not one for hyperbole, but these trough blocks (that’s a new term I just made up) are fantastic for East Coast swell potential, especially Southern NSW.
The new S/SE groundswell will peak overnight and ease through Thursday. But jeez, the forecast swell window looks good...