Tiny surf continues this week as high pressure remains in the Tasman with a low not quite in the swell window and swells too weak to get around K’gari (Fraser Is).
We’ll see N’ly winds increase short term and then as we head into the weekend in response to an approaching cut-off low in the Bight, with sizey pulses of NE windswell on the radar for these periods.
Unfortunately, compared to Fridays expectations the interplay between these two systems is weaker, with a more constrained fetch of lower windspeeds that drifts away quicker than modelled on Friday. That will result in smaller east quadrant swell this week, relative to Fridays expectations.
Unfortunately, compared to Fridays expectations the interplay between these two systems is weaker, with a more constrained fetch of lower windspeeds that drifts away quicker than modelled on Friday. That will result in smaller east quadrant swell this week, relative to Fridays expectations.
A strong mid-latitude low will move in tomorrow bringing with it a large increase in windy westerly swell.
The coming period will provide plenty of surf days to the east of Melbourne.
Make the most of the current and coming swells before they fade.
The rest of the week should hold surfable levels of E/NE-NE swell from winds feeding into a low pressure trough in the Tasman.
Tomorrow is worth capitalising on before the next episode of frontal activity moves in.
There’s still some model divergence later next week but for now we’ve got reasonable confidence a broad fetch will develop through the Northern Tasman as high pressure moves into the Tasman and supplies an anchor for the low.
