Not the best start for tomorrow with a low point in swell and S/SE winds, but improving into the afternoon with a new swell, cleaner Sunday. Good waves early next week ahead of large, onshore surf.

A SE/NW angled trough in the Tasman is likely to deepen on Tuesday, possibly forming a surface low. GFS model has this low forming off the Central NSW coast, EC forms a low much further north in the Tasman, close to Norfolk Island, with a very different surf outlook from Tuesday onwards.

Get stuck in today down South ahead of strengthening W/NW winds tomorrow. Stormy surf is due to develop across both coasts Sunday, improving into early next week while easing.

This front is expected to be a swell producer for the NE Coast with a deep S’ly fetch tied to a complex low tracking NE through Mon and bringing a steep increase in new S swell through the day. Unfortunately this will come with S’ly through SSE’ly winds so you’ll need to find somewhere out of the wind to surf and sacrifice some size.