Tiny weekend ahead with S swell Monday

Steve Shearer picture
Steve Shearer (freeride76)

Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Steve Shearer (issued Wed Sep8)

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

  • Small S swell Fri
  • Tiny over the weekend
  • Stronger S swell Mon


Strong S swell built through the day today as a deep low passed well to the south of Tasmania with a storm force fetch transiting the Tasman. Size built into the 6ft range at S facing beaches, with winds tending NW after blowing W/SW through the morning. 

This  week and weekend (Sep8- Sep 12)

Todays strong S swell eases back quickly tomorrow with small swells mostly ironed out flat by fresh W to NW winds. 

A weaker cold front pushing into the Tasman Friday is expected to see a small boost in wave heights through Friday, up into the 2-3ft range at S facing beaches. Expect winds from the W/SW as the front passes with winds then swinging back to the N/NW in the wake of the front.

That leaves very small surf on offer both days on the weekend with no major swell sources on offer. Winds from the N quadrant freshen through Saturday and tend W/NW on Sunday before a front brings a SW change on Sun.

This front is expected to be a swell producer for the NE Coast with a deep S’ly fetch tied to a complex low tracking NE through Mon and bringing a steep increase in new S swell through the day. Unfortunately this will come with S’ly through SSE’ly winds so you’ll need to find somewhere out of the wind to surf and sacrifice some size. 

This swell eases back quickly on Tuesday.

The rest of next week looks small as high pressure drifts towards and over Tasmania, deflecting fronts southwards. Expect settled weather and small/tiny surf from Tues through most of next week.

More on Friday.