We should see fun waves up to the weekend, easing into early next week before rebuilding on the back of a SE surge Wed next week.

A weak trade flow in the Coral Sea now only looks capable of generating minor background E’ly swells. N’ly winds will increase over the weekend as a more significant trough and frontal system pushes into the Tasman next week, generating swells from the southern quadrant.

As such, Friday is the pick of the working week but late Thursday could have some options if the models change the strength and timing of the change.

The Indian Ocean is in an active phase with a storm track concentrated on disturbances SW of Heard Island and tracking below the state maintaining intensity. Locally, a ridge under the state is being enhanced by a trough moving down the coast from the Gascoyne, eventually forming a low off the SW corner before it moves inland again.