Southern Tasmanian Australian Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday May 23rd)

Best Days: Today, tomorrow working the winds, later next week

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Easing SW swell over the weekend with W/SW-W/NW winds tomorrow AM, W/NW into the PM
• Tiny Sun with N/NW winds ahead of weak sea breezes
• Poor S/SW windswell Tue and Wed with strong SW winds
• Building mid-period SW swell Thu PM with NW tending W/SW winds
• Better SW swell for Fri/Sat with NW tending weak onshore winds

Recap

A new pulse of swell provided fun 2ft waves through yesterday with great conditions while today we’ve got out larger groundswell in the water with straight 4ft sets across Clifton under light offshore winds.

This weekend and next week (May 24 - 30)

The current swell is due to ease back tomorrow with tricky conditions as a trough moves through pre-dawn with W-W/SW winds possible though most likely W/NW, persisting into the afternoon.

Sunday will be small to tiny under morning offshore winds, while our attention swings to next week.

As touched on in Wednesday’s notes, the outlook for early next week isn’t favourable for any major swell generation, with a strong cold-outbreak that will move up and into the Bight due to sit too far north of our swell window to generate any meaningful groundswell.

What we will see on Tuesday as the southern flank of the low moves across us will be some localised windswell but with strong SW winds.

These winds look to persist on Wednesday with no considerable swell in the mix, better into the end of the week and next weekend as better, polar frontal activity fires up south-west of us during the week.

The first increase in mid-period SW swell is due through Thursday, generated by strong W/NW winds on the polar shelf Tuesday, with building sets to 2ft due, while stronger follow up activity should generate more size Friday/Saturday to 3ft or so. Local winds look best in the mornings with offshore breezes before sea breezes kick in. More on this Monday, have a great weekend!