Best Sunday, fun and clean most mornings early-mid next week

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

South Australian Forecast (issued Friday 8th December)

Best Days: Sunday morning, Monday morning, Wednesday morning South Coast

Recap

Poor conditions returned yesterday morning to the South Coast with fresh to strong onshore winds and a junky windswell. The Mid Coast was around 0.5ft, pulsing to 1ft on the sets through the afternoon as sea breezes kicked in.

Similar conditions were again seen down South this morning with the Mid offering tiny to flat conditions.

This weekend and next week (Jan 8 - 15)

South Coast: There's been no change to the good pulse of S/SW groundswell due down South tomorrow, but the winds have taken a slight shift for the worst.

Middleton should see solid 3ft sets, with 4ft+ waves at Waits and Parsons but with moderate SE winds, possibly tending E'ly at times through the morning. This isn't ideal and it's probably not worth the drive from Adelaide any more.

Sunday is still looking good as the swell eases from 2-3ft at Middleton and 4ft at Waits and Parsons under light N/NE offshores ahead of afternoon sea breezes.

Monday morning is now looking a little funky wind wise with an approaching trough bringing NW tending SW breezes.

An inconsistent long-range SW groundswell is due, but the models are still over-forecasting the size. This swell, generated in our far swell window is expected to offer inconsistent 2ft+ sets at Middleton with 3ft to occasionally 4ft waves at Waits and Parsons through the morning, smaller later

Small 2ft waves should continue at Middleton Tuesday morning but a late kick in new SW groundswell is due, easing through Wednesday. This will be produced by a small tight mid-latitude low moving in from the southern Indian Ocean, with inconsistent 2-3ft sets due at Middleton as it peaks and 3-4ft+ waves at Waits and Parsons.

Good conditions are due both Tuesday and Wednesday mornings with variable winds ahead of afternoon sea breezes.

Later in the week another tight mid-latitude low moving in from the southern Indian Ocean is due to later in the week, but this system will intensify while moving across us. A stormy mix of W/SW veering S/SW swell is due, but we'll have another look at this Monday.

Mid Coast: The weekend won't offer any surf at all, while an inconsistent SW groundswell for Monday might see the odd 0.5-1ft set on the favourable parts of the tide.

Later Tuesday and Wednesday morning's SW swell looks a little better with inconsistent 1ft sets likely.

Into the end of the week, the deepening mid-latitude low should provide more size, but more on this Monday. Have a great weekend!

Comments

rablex's picture
rablex's picture
rablex Friday, 8 Jan 2016 at 5:30pm

im visiting the area, thinking of heading across to kangaroo island, is this place hard to explore? thinking of looking up a place thatll be moderately offshore in this S wind and just driving. trying not to think about sharks too.

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Friday, 8 Jan 2016 at 5:33pm

We've got a northern KI forecast here: https://www.swellnet.com/reports/australia/south-australia/kangaroo-island-north-coast/forecast

Problem is, the swell over the weekend is S/SW and probably won't get in.

More exposed breaks will be worth the go from Sunday.

caml's picture
caml's picture
caml Friday, 8 Jan 2016 at 8:19pm

Im Groveling summer crumbs craig

Crith's picture
Crith's picture
Crith Saturday, 9 Jan 2016 at 12:16pm

Think there's enough west in the swell to get a few waves at Pondie on Tuesday/Wednesday?

caml's picture
caml's picture
caml Monday, 11 Jan 2016 at 11:34pm

A stormy mix of wsw veering ssw . Doesn't sound too promising craig hows the cdc buoy data . Those pulsed during the night but vic got em in daytime 10ft . Nothing here in daytime except dawn . 5 blips on cdc graph increasing

caml's picture
caml's picture
caml Tuesday, 12 Jan 2016 at 1:38am

Wtf has happened to the cdc buoy graph is this real or has it been hacked ?

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Tuesday, 12 Jan 2016 at 7:11am

Something's wrong there Cam, how is the heart-beat like trace! Hopefully fixed soon!

caml's picture
caml's picture
caml Tuesday, 12 Jan 2016 at 7:17am

After it did it last nite again I know this aint right craig . Maybe hacked by chinese govt

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Tuesday, 12 Jan 2016 at 10:00am

Apparently the buoy is scheduled for replacement very soon and the batteries on the data logger are very low, so this is probably the source of the fluctuating signal.

caml's picture
caml's picture
caml Tuesday, 12 Jan 2016 at 10:06am

Can you post the first graph I sent you craig .the first blips were small so no alarms went off

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Tuesday, 12 Jan 2016 at 10:18am

Here it is..

caml's picture
caml's picture
caml Tuesday, 12 Jan 2016 at 11:20am

Thanks craig

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Tuesday, 12 Jan 2016 at 11:35am

Just a heads up, Bronzie spotted at Parsons..

caml's picture
caml's picture
caml Tuesday, 12 Jan 2016 at 11:47am

One shark off coles pt too craig . So now the cdc buoy has gone offline , probably for weeks , this is going to be a life changer . Manual checking off the cliff every morn & night

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Tuesday, 12 Jan 2016 at 11:49am

Yeah big bummer! Back to old school techniques.

southey's picture
southey's picture
southey Tuesday, 12 Jan 2016 at 12:23pm

i was going to say last night that the batteries maybe going on that buoy . The solar panel will most likely have kept it accurate during the day .?!?
looks like your going to have to put in the hard yards Cam ...... including opening the car door and walking a few hundred feet to check instead of via phone .... hehehe

caml's picture
caml's picture
caml Tuesday, 12 Jan 2016 at 1:56pm

Hmm solar ?