Craig

Slower period of moderate swell energy

Java, Bali, Lombok, Sumbawa forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Thursday 16th June)

Best Days: Exposed breaks every day until the swell gets small Tuesday/Wednesday

This week and next (Jun 17 - 24)

Currently we should be seeing some good fun S/SW groundswell pushing into the coast with developing moderate to fresh E/SE trades.

Sets should be coming in around 6ft on the sets, with a slow drop in size from 4-5ft+ expected tomorrow.

Our mix of very inconsistent long-range SW groundswell and mid-period S/SW groundswell for the weekend is still on track with the SW energy due to arrive later Friday and peak Saturday to an inconsistent but strong 4-5ft with larger less frequent 6ft+ cleanup sets.

The S/SW swell will soften the easing trend through Sunday, keeping 4-5ft sets hitting exposed breaks into the afternoon before easing Monday.

We're now actually due to see some small mid-period SW swell energy later Sunday, easing Monday from the stalling mid-latitude low in the southern Indian Ocean.

This will be from a fetch of weakening strong to gale-force SW winds spreading around the northern flank of the low today, breaking down further tomorrow.

Only a smallish 4-5ft+ of swell is expected, easing back from this size Monday morning, further into Tuesday.

Moderate to fresh E/SE trades are due to continue over the coming days (lighter and more variable through the mornings) weakening into Sunday/Monday before increasing again from Tuesday.

There's nothing significant due through Tuesday/Wednesday next week, with some moderate S/SW groundswell pulses due Thursday through the weekend.

Thursday's pulse won't be especially strong, generated by a flurry of unconsolidated and relatively weak polar frontal activity, but a better long-period S/SW groundswell pulse for Saturday is due from a stronger polar low firing up south-west of WA.

Size wise, Thursday's swell looks to be in the 4-6ft range as it peaks into the afternoon, with Saturday's increase coming in at a stronger 5-6ft+. Longer term we may see a larger pulse for Monday/Tuesday but more on this Tuesday.

16 day Bali Forecast Graph
16 day East Java Forecast Graph
16 day Sumbawa Forecast Graph

Comments

memlasurf's picture
memlasurf's picture
memlasurf commented Tuesday, 21 Jun 2016 at 2:05pm

Craig heading off to Lakey next week anything happening this far out?

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig commented Tuesday, 21 Jun 2016 at 2:09pm

That there is, large S/SW groundswell but will have an update this afternoon.

caml's picture
caml's picture
caml commented Tuesday, 21 Jun 2016 at 3:00pm

That one for next week indian beef