That fetch will be positioned too far south for CQ and as a result of that we’ll see mostly tiny surf next week.
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Weaker pressure gradients are now in the Coral Sea, as the synoptic pattern takes a pause in between dominant high pressure systems.
A broad trade fetch on steroids is now slowly breaking down through the Coral, Tasman and South Pacific with a tropical low whizzing away to the SE.
Big, slow moving high in the Tasman next week will slowly migrate towards New Zealand, holding a broad fetch of E’ly winds across the Coral Sea, South Pacific slot and into the Northern Tasman.
This will drag the trade fetch southwards before another dominant high quickly re-establishes a firm ridge and SE surge on Thursday, bringing another round of SE tending E/SE swell favouring the sub-tropics for size.
By Mon a large high will be drifting towards New Zealand with broad fetch of E/SE-SE tradewinds in the South Pacific slot, extending into the Coral Sea and Northern Tasman.
Into next week a dominant high tracks towards New Zealand and sets up a robust E’ly tradewind fetch through the Coral Sea and South Pacific, encroaching on the northern Tasman Sea at times.
By the weekend we’ll see a strong SE surge pushing north of K’gari (Fraser Is) with surf developing either later Sat or Sun.
The high sets up a large E’ly fetch according to most recent model runs with a round of tradewind swell in the sub-tropics.
Not much in the way of swell generating wind in the Coral Sea short term so expect tiny/flat conditions for most of the week. Eventually the high pressure cell builds a tradewind fetch in the Coral Sea, likely by Fri, with surf building to rideable levels on Sat and likely extending into Sun.