In the eastern swell window a massive high east of New Zealand and tropical depression in Tongan longitudes is reaching peak intensity and expected to send some meaningful E’ly groundswell towards the eastern seaboard, making landfall over the weekend and next week.
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Surf rebuilds next week from a combination of Tradewinds as a new high pressure ridge builds over the weekend and long range E swell from a South Pacific low.
High pressure across the interior of NSW will be moving across Southern NSW into the Tasman, with a trade fetch currently anchored by a small low sliding off to the SE over the weekend. That will maintain fun, rideable waves across CQ.
We’ll see rideable surf develop through tomorrow and extend into the weekend under SE winds. Rideable,fun surf should persist into early next week before easing.
E’ly winds in the Coral Sea should still see surf develop across CQ from Wed, with rideable surf through to the end of the week.
On it’s own that will see a broad E’ly fetch develop likely in the New Caledonia quadrant, extending into the South Pacific slot. GFS adds to that recipe for a round of (sizey) trade swell with a deepening trough in the Coral Sea which spawns a surface low mid week, currently modelled to track southwards into the Tasman.
There’s a S’ly flow currently weakening and no swell producing winds behind it.
Low pressure in the Tasman this week and no swell generating winds in the Coral Sea= tiny/flat surf this week in CQ.
Into next week and low pressure sits in the Tasman while the Coral Sea remains lifeless.
The only hope is some small E swell from a distant fetch which may see some rideable waves ta spots exposed to the Capricorn to Breaksea Spit channel opening. We’ll see some potential 1-2ft surf through Thurs/Fri and Sat from that source.