High pressure in the Tasman is holding a weak ridge in the Coral Sea, with E’ly winds focussed SW of New Caledonia generating some small fun waves.
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These winds aren’t strong but they do look persistent into and through next week. As a result we should see rideable surf develop later Mon into Tues and hang around through until Thurs/Fri.
High pressure next week may develop enough of a trade flow in the Coral Sea to generate some small waves.
Further ahead and GFS is suggesting a robust high in the Tasman with a trade flow supplying some small surf for the CQ region developing next weekend with another, stronger high moving at Tasmanian latitudes suggesting another SE surge and potential swell from the eastern quadrant.
Still some hope though with another strong high moving E of Tasmania on Sat and generating a SE surge up the QLD coast this weekend.
Next weeks high pressure centre in the Tasman now looks weaker and the trade flow in the Coral Sea is weaker and more disjointed.
The initial SE surge is confined to more northerly waters but as the week progresses SE winds should extend though more of the Coral Sea and generate rideable waves for CQ.
High pressure is moving up over QLD and E’ly winds are deserting the Coral Sea. That will see a period of tiny/flat winter-style surf set in this week and into the weekend.
High pressure is now moving away and the fetch in the Coral Sea is expected to ease over the weekend and migrate south and eastwards.
Very La Niña-esque synoptic pattern with a strong 1035hPa high sitting in the Tasman directing an E’ly flow into a coastal trough stretched from Central QLD to the South Coast NSW.