Into next week and low pressure sits in the Tasman while the Coral Sea remains lifeless.
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The only hope is some small E swell from a distant fetch which may see some rideable waves ta spots exposed to the Capricorn to Breaksea Spit channel opening. We’ll see some potential 1-2ft surf through Thurs/Fri and Sat from that source.
Some small E’ly tradeswell is also likely to build into the first week of winter as an E’ly fetch builds across the Coral Sea, suggesting a round of fun surf for CQ.
We should see some tiny, possibly just rideable surf from the system through the week, more likely after Wed as the fetch draws out into the Northern Tasman.
That fetch will be positioned too far south for CQ and as a result of that we’ll see mostly tiny surf next week.
Weaker pressure gradients are now in the Coral Sea, as the synoptic pattern takes a pause in between dominant high pressure systems.
A broad trade fetch on steroids is now slowly breaking down through the Coral, Tasman and South Pacific with a tropical low whizzing away to the SE.
Big, slow moving high in the Tasman next week will slowly migrate towards New Zealand, holding a broad fetch of E’ly winds across the Coral Sea, South Pacific slot and into the Northern Tasman.
This will drag the trade fetch southwards before another dominant high quickly re-establishes a firm ridge and SE surge on Thursday, bringing another round of SE tending E/SE swell favouring the sub-tropics for size.
By Mon a large high will be drifting towards New Zealand with broad fetch of E/SE-SE tradewinds in the South Pacific slot, extending into the Coral Sea and Northern Tasman.