These small lows may move north, then east and finally south or may coalesce in a more classic Tasman Low or ECL variant. With so much uncertainty still around be prepared for major revisions as we move through the week. This is a nightmare to forecast!
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/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2025/05/19/complex-trough
freeride76
Monday, 19 May 2025
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2025/05/16/days-swell-and
freeride76
Friday, 16 May 2025
We’ve got good model agreement now that through Mon we’ll see a deep trough develop from the Coral Sea down to a terminus somewhere on the MNC to lower North Coast with good odds we will see a surface low develop at that terminus.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2025/05/14/light-winds-and
freeride76
Wednesday, 14 May 2025
Next week still looks dynamic with potential for a deep trough or low in the Tasman, although we are going to have to play it day by day due to poor model to model and run to run consistency
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2025/05/12/winds-finally
freeride76
Monday, 12 May 2025
A broad trade fetch on steroids is now slowly breaking down through the Coral, Tasman and South Pacific with a tropical low whizzing away to the SE.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2025/05/09/continuation
thermalben
Friday, 9 May 2025
The dominant synoptic feature is a high pressure system in the southern Tasman Sea that’s directing a firm ridge over Northern NSW and SE Qld.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2025/05/07/strong-se-surge
freeride76
Wednesday, 7 May 2025
The Eastern seaboard is in between two large highs at the moment with a system near New Zealand still generating surf via a tradewind fetch and a new system moving through the Bight about to replicate it.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2025/05/05/spell-smaller
freeride76
Monday, 5 May 2025
We’ll see the current dominant high (1034hPa) straddling New Zealand which is directing a broad trade fetch through the South Pacific and into the Coral Sea slowly migrate eastwards this week with an E’ly dip forming a trough of low pressure due E of SEQLD mid week.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2025/05/02/fun-blend-se-and
freeride76
Friday, 2 May 2025
Following a fun south-east pulse for the weekend, east energy ramps up later next week.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2025/04/30/extended-run
freeride76
Wednesday, 30 April 2025
We’re seeing a ramp up in strong S’ly winds along the eastern seaboard as a dominant high (1035hPa) moves through the eastern Bight towards Tasmania with a trough on it’s leading edge moving northwards. Remnants of a low on the weekend are also sitting near New Zealand with swell generating fetches off the South Island and emerging from Cook Strait into the eastern Tasman.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2025/04/28/plenty-robust-s
freeride76
Monday, 28 April 2025
We’ll see another front and trough develop mid week on the leading edge of the dominant high, which sees a strong S/SE-SE fetch develop through the lower Tasman from mid week. Plenty of swell from this source with a strong ridge along the NSW seeing fresh S’lies, easing into the weekend.
