Friday, 8 December 2023

A powerful front and parent low passing under the continent and lower Tasman Sun into Mon looks to supply long period S’ly groundswell.

Wednesday, 6 December 2023

The troughy pattern we’ve seen since early November continues, with surf potential continuing to favor small swells from infeeds into the trough.

Monday, 4 December 2023

No major swells expected this week. The headline feature is a potential major tropical cyclone drifting into the Coral Sea with a poleward (southwards) track late this week, over the weekend and into next week. It’s unlikely for the system to reach far enough south to generate surf for NETas but there are some modelled outcomes suggesting it might.

Friday, 1 December 2023

No great change to the weekend f/cast. Low pressure has moved off the coast and is slow moving, with a broad fetch of strong E’ly winds on the southern flank of the low supplying plenty of E’ly swell to NE Tasmania.

Wednesday, 29 November 2023

A dynamic weather event is underway as a complex inland low approaches the Far South Coast of NSW, expected to enter the Tasman Sea tomorrow. A moist NE-E/NE infeed into the low is generating plenty of rain (heaviest falls on the South Coast) and building swells from the same direction, focussed on NETas. We’ll see large surf develop across NETas as the low moves offshore tomorrow.

Monday, 27 November 2023

Most of the infeed into the system and resultant flow off the southern flank of the low is now focussed on Southern NSW and Tasmania (compared to Mondays notes). Large to XL swells this week are expected as the system forms and drifts south.

Friday, 24 November 2023

By Wed we should see another building trend as another trough deepens in Southern NSW/Gippsland and a strong infeed into the trough builds E/NE swells.

Wednesday, 22 November 2023

That trough then deepens o/night Sat into Sun with a building trend in S-S/SE swell under fresh/strong winds from the same direction.

Monday, 20 November 2023

Into the weekend and we should see an increase in NE-E/NE swell on Sat from winds feeding into a trough near the Gippsland coast.

Friday, 17 November 2023

Sun is a different story as strong, long period S swells from a storm force system in the Southern Ocean make landfall.