Wednesday, 15 November 2023

Another deep low is expected to bomb under the continent and send more long period groundswell our way late this weekend under a continuing unstable, trough pattern. 

Monday, 13 November 2023

The continent is unstable with a heat trough over NWWA and more troughs extending from the interior  through to the East Coast. A deep low and powerful frontal system with a long trailing fetch is currently traversing the lower Tasman, generating long period S swells. 

Friday, 10 November 2023

No great change to the weekend f/cast. The N’ly fetch reaches peak strength o/night and into Sat morning with a corresponding peak in NE windswell expected.

Wednesday, 8 November 2023

A weak ridge up the sub-tropics has a lighter E’ly flow with stronger N-NE winds south of the MNC down to the South Coast and Tasmania. We’ll see this pattern persist with increasing NE windswell across NE Tas this week. A strong frontal progression is expected to provide a series of S swells next week. 

Monday, 6 November 2023

The high initially weakens with a lighter onshore flow before re-strengthening as it approaches New Zealand and has the pressure gradient tightened on the western flank by the complex trough systems. That will produce a N’ly flow, expected to increase as the week goes on with increasing NE windswell late in the week and early weekend.

Friday, 3 November 2023

Into next week and the main story is a large high moving into the Tasman and becoming slow moving, setting up a summer-style blocking pattern with developing NE winds and NE windswell, becoming solid by the end of the week.

Wednesday, 1 November 2023

Under current modelling this should be an extended event as the N'ly fetch persists and actually increases later next week.

Monday, 30 October 2023

Into next week and more marginal swells not offering much in the way of size. It’ll likely be ankle snappers for at least the first half of next week.

Friday, 27 October 2023

We’ve already seen solid S swells in NETas from the frontal system with smaller surf expected from the sub-tropical low system. 

Wednesday, 25 October 2023

Spectacular charts more characteristic of late Summer/Autumn with a Cat 5 TC in the South Pacific bearing down on Vanuatu, and a powerful frontal intrusion poised to enter the Tasman Sea backed by a monster high in the Bight.