Surfwise E’ly swells from trade-winds off the top of the high will hold show more energy Mon, up a notch through Tues as the general wind field in the Southern Coral re-strengthens and more mid period swells make landfall from the stalled progression of lows in the South Pacific.
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Central QLD Forecaster Notes by Steve Shearer (updated on Wed Feb 5th)
This week and next week (Feb5-Feb14)
Central QLD: Easing swells short term with next week now looking a bit lacklustre
Plenty of fun waves in the recent past, easing into the weekend.
Expect a peak in size over the next 48hrs then a slow ease off through the rest of the week and into the weekend.
An active monsoon trough with various low pressure centres is anchoring a trade-wind fetch through the Coral Sea and extending out into the South Pacific which will see plenty of surf in the CQ region.
We’ll see E’ly tradeswells continue across CQ into and over the weekend and early next week at a minimum. More significant E’ly swells are still on the table but contingent on low pressure developments next week.
Model runs have been all over the place next week as they struggle to resolve an active monsoon trough which extends out from Northern Australia across the Coral Sea and into the South Pacific Island chains.
There’s no sign of any Tradewinds into and through next week with tiny/flat surf expected right into next weekend.
Not much on the horizon with weak pressure gradients and no tradewinds in the Coral Sea next week, a flat spell is expected.
The current synoptic situation has a Groundhog Day feel to it, with another very weak high pressure cell in the Tasman (1019hPa), directing a mod SE’ly flow along the CQ coastline, with a weakening Tradewind flow in the Coral Sea contracting northwards.
With high pressure moving NE into the Tasman we’ll see winds increase as a SE surge builds up the Fraser/Burnett coast.