So, we’ve got an East Coast Low developing on our doorstep, and the next few days are certainly looking very complex in the surf department.
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I think the models are undercalling Saturday’s surf from both sources.
The source of this swell is an exceptionally broad polar low moving below the continent over the last few days, displaying a wide area of W/SW thru SW gales across the Southern Ocean.
This new south swell is being generated by a deep low and vigorous front that entered the southern Tasman Sea this morning.
The current south swell will ease a little during Saturday, but we’ll see a minor reinforcement into Sunday afternoon from a small new south swell trailing a front that’ll push into the Tasman Sea tomorrow.
We’ve got plenty of interesting swell sources lining up for the next few days.
So, right now we’re on the backside of the weekend’s south swell.
The last round of southerly swell from this pattern is starting to nose through the Southern Tasman Sea and we’re looking at some great waves for the weekend.
We’ve got an extended period of active south swell inbound for Southern NSW.
A deep low south of Tasmania - responsible for snow down to sea level there this morning - is tracking up into the Southern Tasman Sea, and generating a new swell for Southern NSW.