More southerly energy inboundPremium content for Swellnet Pro subscribers

Ben Matson picture
Ben Matson (thermalben)

A strong front pushed into off the NSW coast the Tasman Sea overnight, and it’s generating a strong flush of south swell that’ll fill in this evening and provide a nice boost in surf size across Southern NSW.

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Comments

Dan87's picture
Dan87's picture
Dan87 Tuesday, 15 Jul 2025 at 7:58am

Swell peaked overnight and wasn't even 2ft on northern beaches.. despite daily surf check claiming 3ft. Checked a couple of south swell magnets and didn't even bother going out.

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben Tuesday, 15 Jul 2025 at 9:09am

Bondi still looks 3ft (a few mins ago), with a few bigger sets earlier.

Dan87's picture
Dan87's picture
Dan87 Tuesday, 15 Jul 2025 at 9:32am

I don't want to argue with you, Ben, but that is hardly breaking and the daily surf report is meant to be for northern beaches. Tbh, I am a bit frustrated as I went down to the beach without my running gear based on the daily (and the forecast (3-4 ft) but i know that is not infallible) and I couldn't surf it. I checked two known south swell magnets and not just a drive-by; I watched them for a while. I would call it 2ft on the sets but that could be called a stretch. It was waist high. I note, the report has gone even higher on the second report; 3ft+!!
I don't believe Craig, or whomever else, went to the beach and checked it. If they did, I would like to know what beach.
This is not the first time I've noticed this and I know others have too. I don't want to complain but I think it would be helpful if the report could note when it is not a live check; ie, based on the report and/or cams. I'm sure it is only the rare occasion and it will be denied.
Otherwise, I love your site and the content. Love Craig's detailed forecast assessments. Cheers

Alex Papas's picture
Alex Papas's picture
Alex Papas Tuesday, 15 Jul 2025 at 10:17am

was defs a healthy 3 foot where i surfed, lad. the NB is a long stretch of coast..

Dan87's picture
Dan87's picture
Dan87 Tuesday, 15 Jul 2025 at 11:15am

Yep, I didn't drive too far north but very unusual for it to vary so much.

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben Tuesday, 15 Jul 2025 at 10:29am

Happy to agree to disagree, but I'm watching the Bondi cam now and there are head high plus sets pushing through right now.

Flukey swells sometimes have a habit of favouring some so-called reliable stretches/beaches and not others. The Northern Beaches in particular is notoriously fickle under south swells, so perhaps that's what happened this morning.

Dan87's picture
Dan87's picture
Dan87 Tuesday, 15 Jul 2025 at 11:12am

No worries. Has Craig stopped doing the surf checks? I know he had a baby so is understandable.
I don't believe he physically checked the surf then wrote that report. I know he surfs where I surf and trust his call. Unless he has moved?
If there is a new checker, can you let us know where they are checking? I don't think that's unreasonable. If they are not physically checking, I think it is fair we know that too and I won't put so much stock in it.

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben Tuesday, 15 Jul 2025 at 1:15pm

Craig still does some of the surf reports (he did this morning) but he moved away from Manly quite a while ago.

It's probably time for an explanatory article about how the surf reports have evolved over the years, and how they are being produced now (and what we're looking to implement in the future). I don't want to clog up this particular comment section with that discussion though, as these FC Notes will expire at lunchtime tomorrow, and it's like there'll be a long tail of discussion on this topic (there's nothing worse than an out-of-date forecast being propped up over and over by an off-topic discussion).

Dan87's picture
Dan87's picture
Dan87 Tuesday, 15 Jul 2025 at 1:27pm

Thanks Ben, I look forward to it!
I'm gunna have a stab and say Craig checked Av, although still surprised it can be performing that much better than north curly.

Dan87's picture
Dan87's picture
Dan87 Tuesday, 15 Jul 2025 at 11:18am

We also used to get pics which made it clear someone had gone to the beach and checked it. Is there any reason they've stopped?

JadeHonds's picture
JadeHonds's picture
JadeHonds Tuesday, 15 Jul 2025 at 3:37pm

When the pictures stopped and there became similarities in descriptions from other locations, I assumed the reports were now being done over the cams (potentially by a single person covering multiple regions around the coast). Much more economical way to do it that ensures you can be in bed during the surfless or poor weather mornings!

belly's picture
belly's picture
belly Tuesday, 15 Jul 2025 at 9:40am

I surfed yesterday, down south, and I agree the swell was underwhelming relative to the buoy data. Admittedly I went to a semi sheltered spot and should have gone to a full exposure beach.
Great weekend though!

FrazP's picture
FrazP's picture
FrazP Tuesday, 15 Jul 2025 at 9:48am

Sets are slow here, but there are head high sets. Very fun if you are prepared to sit and shiver

daltz's picture
daltz's picture
daltz Tuesday, 15 Jul 2025 at 1:51pm

How about stating the reported beach. Peeps could make a fair judgement call on other spots based off that.......just saying..... :-)

crg's picture
crg's picture
crg Tuesday, 15 Jul 2025 at 2:51pm

Yeah...nah.
Naming spots is a slippery slope.
I don't think it's too much to ask that you should have a base knowledge of your area and use that in conjunction with daily reports.
If not - educate yourself and get in tune with your local reporter and how they describe the conditions.
I've moved homes twice in the last 5 years and spent the first 6 months at each place learning the different swell degree and period variations and how they affect each break.
Do your homework and get the rewards.

Halfscousehalfcockneyfullaussie's picture
Halfscousehalfcockneyfullaussie's picture
Halfscousehalfc... Tuesday, 15 Jul 2025 at 3:56pm

Easy 3 ft pushing maybe 4 ft sets at south swell magnet CC mid morning…

Halfscousehalfcockneyfullaussie's picture
Halfscousehalfcockneyfullaussie's picture
Halfscousehalfc... Tuesday, 15 Jul 2025 at 3:56pm

.