Friday’s swell increase will start off undersized, with the biggest waves expected at the end of the day.
Next week still looks dynamic with potential for a deep trough or low in the Tasman, although we are going to have to play it day by day due to poor model to model and run to run consistency.
Thursday’s size is contingent on whatever appears overnight, as the pulse expected later today was/is expected to be the start of an initially modest new groundswell that would precede a bigger swell for Friday ahead of a peak on Saturday.
Next week still looks dynamic with potential for a deep trough or low in the Tasman, although we are going to have to play it day by day due to poor model to model and run to run consistency
Next week still looks dynamic with potential for a deep trough or low in the Tasman, although we are going to have to play it day by day due to poor model to model and run to run consistency.
The long term outlook is shaping up to deliver a series of large, back to back groundswells.
Friday is where things will start to get more interesting.
The peak of this swell cycle is expected on Saturday morning, however it will have been generated by the latter stages of the Southern Ocean progression as it rears up under the state.
A strong conveyor belt of fronts through the Southern Ocean - initially unfavourable aligned through our swell window - will generate a series of groundswells that will overlap through the latter part of the week ahead of a peak in size over the weekend.
A broad trade fetch on steroids is now slowly breaking down through the Coral, Tasman and South Pacific with a tropical low whizzing away to the SE.
