At best, we have a brief window of light winds early Saturday morning, and this will be the only window of opportunity to surf down south.

That fetch will be positioned too far south for CQ and as a result of that we’ll see mostly tiny surf next week.

We’ve got good model agreement now that through Mon we’ll see a deep trough develop from the Coral Sea down to a terminus somewhere on the MNC to lower North Coast with good odds we will see a surface low develop at that terminus.

The initial swells will be generated by overlapping fronts tracking through the Southern Ocean, whereas the large pulse will be courtesy of a rapidly deepening cut-off mid-latitude low at the tail end of the frontal sequence.