Fading surf with tricky winds

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday January 11th)

Best Days: Monday, Tuesday

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

  • Easing swell tomorrow and Fri
  • Light-mod S/SW tending fresh S/SE winds tomorrow
  • Light W/NW tending S/SE Fri
  • Tiny W/SW swell Sat with gusty N/NE tending strong E/NE winds
  • Building S windswell Sun with strong S/SW winds
  • Moderate sized SW swell Mon AM with moderate E/NE winds, strengthening
  • Easing surf Mon PM and further Tue with strong N/NE winds

Recap

Tiny waves for beginners yesterday with a light onshore breeze, a bit better this morning with a peak in W/SW swell and light offshore winds. Sea breezes have now impacted the coast.

This week and weekend (Jan 12 - 15)

Looking at tomorrow and a trough will unfortunately bring a shallow S/SW change as the current energy eases, dropping from 1-1.5ft with fresher S/SE afternoon sea breezes.

Friday will be tiny but cleaner with a light W/NW offshore ahead of S/SE sea breezes.

The weekend will then be tiny, though a weak fetch of W/NW winds moving through our swell window tomorrow should keep 1ft waves hitting Clifton both Saturday and Sunday.

A gusty N/NE tending strong E/NE breeze will create tricky conditions on Saturday while a trough is due to bring a strong S/SW change around dawn Sunday, kicking up some localised windswell.

The low attached to this change should generate some fun SW swell for Monday though, with a short-lived fetch of strong to gale-force W/SW winds due to generate a spike to 2-3ft. The swell will ease rapidly through the day and fade from 1-2ft on Tuesday.

Winds should improve rapidly on Monday, swinging E/NE and then strengthening through the day. This won't be ideal for Clifton but there should be options.

Longer term some secondary mid-period W/SW swell is likely later week but we'll have a closer look at this on Friday.