Good reinforcing NW groundswells through this week

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Hawaii North Shore, Micronesia and PNG forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued on Tuesday 15th January)

This week and next (Jan 16 - 25)

Hawaii: The weekend'x XL groundswell eased back through yesterday with solid pumping waves for day two of the Da Hui Backdoor Shootout, smaller again into this morning for day three. A new reinforcing NW groundswell started to kick in through the afternoon, generated by a secondary strong front wrapping around the parent low linked to the weekend's just past swell event.

This swell should ease into tomorrow morning, though a third and strongest reinforcing NW groundswell swell will fill in later in the day, peaking overnight and easing through Wednesday.

Size wise tomorrow morning looks to come in around 10-12ft, easing a touch through the day ahead of the kick in new swell through the afternoon, pushing possibly a touch over the morning's size, with easing 10-12ft waves through Wednesday

Light morning offshore winds will create clean conditions tomorrow morning ahead of weak afternoon sea breezes, while Wednesday looks great across selected breaks with a developing Kona wind (S'ly) though more so later in the day.

Thursday will become more wind affected with stronger Kona S/SW winds, giving into an afternoon W change and then N/NE winds on Friday.

Size wise Thursday should see easing surf from 6ft to possibly 8ft at magnets early, while a weak N/NW windswell will fill in Friday behind Thursday afternoon's change.

No major size or power is expected with raw and bumpy 5-6ft or so.

The swell is due to ease back through the weekend as winds improve and swing E/NE and then S/SE on Sunday as another change moves through.

Longer term we may see a moderate to large sized mid-period NW swell for Tuesday/Wednesday followed by a larger groundswell later week. More on this Thursday though.

North Shore Forecast Graph
North Shore WAMs

Micronesia: Good waves across our north facing reef passes from the weekend, with the size backing off slowly through yesterday and today.

A low point in swell is due tomorrow morning ahead of a renewal of N'ly groundswell into the afternoon and more so Thursday/Friday.

This swell was generated off the backside of the low mentioned above and should provide building sets to 4-5ft+ by dark tomorrow with Thursday coming in more around 6ft, if not the odd bigger one late in the day, easing from 5-6ft Friday.

Fresh and gusty E/NE trades will create favourable conditions throughout the swell event and as it eases through the weekend.

Next week a new mid-period N/NW swell may provide a fun increase in swell next Tuesday though the second groundswell looks better and large late week, but more on this Thursday/Friday.

Palikir Pass Forecast Graph
Palikir Pass WAMs

Papua New Guinea: Some fun though inconsistent N'ly groundswell is breaking across the region, though W/SW-SW winds are limiting surfing options a touch.

A mix of N'ly groundswells should persist at an inconsistent 3ft+ tomorrow, easing temporarily into Thursday as winds also back off.

A better pulse of N'ly groundswell should then be seen into Friday with sets to 3-5ft, holding most of Saturday and then easing slowly Sunday. Variable winds are due each morning ahead of afternoon sea breezes, tending more W/SW into early next week.

Longer term there is no significant trade-swell on the cards so try and maximise the surf time with these N'ly swell pulses.

Kavieng Forecast Graph
Kavieng WAMs


evosurfer's picture
evosurfer's picture
evosurfer Tuesday, 15 Jan 2019 at 7:34pm

Been here 3 weeks and all I can say is Hawaii is by far the best surf destination
on the planet it just never stops people are friendly and the waves are amazing and challenging.
Indo maybe perfect but the constant snaking, dropins and uncontrolled dropkicks is overwhelming.
Aloha is alive and thriving on Oahu just go without attitude and with respect.

Solitude's picture
Solitude's picture
Solitude Tuesday, 15 Jan 2019 at 8:41pm

Where you surfing in this huge pipe swell?
Standout sessions from your past couple of weeks?

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Wednesday, 16 Jan 2019 at 2:54pm