COVID-19 Health System Overload Forecaster

Craig's picture
Craig started the topic in Wednesday, 18 Mar 2020 at 7:44pm

I've created a spreadsheet forecast which I'll update as we go..

There's also a website with live running data.. https://sites.google.com/view/stayhomeaustralia

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin commented Wednesday, 1 Jul 2020 at 4:34pm

I don’t think it’s a hoax. For certain it’s a genuine disease and irrevocably fatal to a tiny minority of already compromised individuals, but I reckon it’s been so purposefully overblown that it’s almost impossible to comprehend the scale of opportunism .

Everyone has jumped on board and taken this advantage to exploit a disease which probably kills and affects less people than malaria.

Yes , I think this will be exploited to create a first legitimate attempt at the one world government and a digital global currency, global digital ID etc . If you think we aren’t witnessing the melt up of fiat currency then look closer.

World Economic Forum is even basically stating as much , so it can’t even be classed as a conspiracy theory.

It’s more likely and more feasible than the oceans swallowing London in the next generation, that’s for fucking sure.

shoredump's picture
shoredump's picture
shoredump commented Wednesday, 1 Jul 2020 at 4:44pm

I don’t know, you tell me Shorty

Exactly right Blowin, exploiting something for benefit does not make it a conspiracy

shortenism's picture
shortenism's picture
shortenism commented Wednesday, 1 Jul 2020 at 5:00pm

Next time you see me, pls remind me to give you the answer shoredump.

Vic Local's picture
Vic Local's picture
Vic Local commented Wednesday, 1 Jul 2020 at 5:02pm

I've seen nothing in the stats and trends to indicate the next 6 months (at absolute best) aren't going to be a complete fucking mess in the USA and Brazil. We are talking about a medical disaster, crushed economies, high levels of violence, and potentially failed democracies. India and Peru are a mess too, but they aren't governed by complete madmen.
This is why I have zero tolerance for anti-science conspiracy theorists and racist bullshit artists. The mess in the USA and Brazil is what happens when these people take over. People die.

"angry online, smiley in the brine"

shortenism's picture
shortenism's picture
shortenism commented Wednesday, 1 Jul 2020 at 5:05pm

Exactly Blowin its not a conspiracy, its happening knowingly and perpetuated.

shoredump's picture
shoredump's picture
shoredump commented Wednesday, 1 Jul 2020 at 5:08pm

That joke about the shower, I’ve used that maybe 5 times over the last 10 years, seriously. Don’t stress about it, I have no idea who you are, I’m sorry it’s on your mind, I apologise

Dale -Cooper's picture
Dale -Cooper's picture
Dale -Cooper commented Wednesday, 1 Jul 2020 at 5:18pm

Whose laughing now, brothers?

“The dog leg. That dog had four legs. One you found in my trunk. The other three went out with the information you're thinking about right now. Two people you don't want coming around here if anything bad happens to me.”

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin commented Wednesday, 1 Jul 2020 at 5:19pm

The worst affected states in the US are fucked due to poor state governance, it’s got nothing to do with Trump. And the worst affected states are Democrats.

It’s like blaming ScoMo for the decisions made by state premiers .

The economies are crushed due to the universally implemented lockdowns....got nothing to do with heads of state either.

But don’t let reality deviate from blind hatred.

shortenism's picture
shortenism's picture
shortenism commented Wednesday, 1 Jul 2020 at 5:32pm

Its hasn't been on my mind for my sake shoredump but lets just say a growing ping comes across my kid safety radar the more you comment like this... Yep lets square it off. I'm sorry too about my earlier comment saying you were being all spooky creeping out of the closet pretending to expose someone.... but not prepared to do the same yourself.... And now ultimately knowing you have no idea, which is making me really ping. FKN weirdo.

JQ's picture
JQ's picture
JQ commented Wednesday, 1 Jul 2020 at 5:34pm

Man your Trump apoligism is really something Blowin. Just like he said hey, all the authority none of the responsibility.

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin commented Wednesday, 1 Jul 2020 at 5:40pm

Does that mean you are really proud of Trump’s efforts in Wyoming , Alaska , North Dakota and West Virginia which have less than half a dozen cases between them ?

He’s really making a difference there !

JQ's picture
JQ's picture
JQ commented Wednesday, 1 Jul 2020 at 5:45pm

I think the way that he used his leadership role to co-ordinate a cohesive, prompt, science driven response to this crisis was really good work, It was also good the way the federal government decided to manage the distribution of supplies amongst the states - can you imagine if states had to compete and bid against each other for needed medical supplies - debacle!.

It would've been idiotic to dismiss it, ignore the advice of medical advisors, encourage states to re-open their economies against the advice of experts and fail to set an example for the people of the country you lead by doing something so basic and simple as to wear a mask. Also would have been stupid to roll back federal support for testing when cases are surging.

Vic Local's picture
Vic Local's picture
Vic Local commented Wednesday, 1 Jul 2020 at 5:59pm

Oh please blowin, just stop talking out your arse for 5 minutes.
Of the 15 worst trending states on July 1, 14 are Republican states. California being the exception. Those are Johns Hopkins figures. Republican governors have answered Trump's call to reduce the restrictions and the infection rates have gone through the roof. It was all so predictable.
Trump has been an unmitigated disaster for the USA and the bodybags are piling up.
BTW, your figures of half a dozen cases between them for various states is complete bullshit.
Those states you quoted are the least impacted, but they are all tracking in the wrong direction with approximate 200 new daily cases between them not half a dozen.
Blowin, Do you every get bored typing absolute bullshit that is easily disproved with two minutes of research?

"angry online, smiley in the brine"

shoredump's picture
shoredump's picture
shoredump commented Wednesday, 1 Jul 2020 at 6:02pm

For the record, I got 4 laughs and 1 that didn’t. I’m ok with that.

Can I just put this out there, if there’s ever a swellnet wedding, can I be on Blowins table, otherwise I’m gonna lose it

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin commented Wednesday, 1 Jul 2020 at 6:12pm

Vic Local talking dogshit. Democrats killing people like they’re governed by Ted Bundy.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1109011/coronavirus-covid19-death-ra...

truebluebasher's picture
truebluebasher's picture
truebluebasher commented Wednesday, 1 Jul 2020 at 8:02pm

What's New in Oz Border conspiracies!
A new Nationwide State based Contact [ I.D.] App.

Robot : [ Tasmania will also implement measures at Tasmanian borders to provide a detailed understanding of who is entering Tasmania and how to contact them. ]

[ This will be supported by an APP that is currently being developed with other States. This will also be 'complimented' by a manual record system. ]
https://coronavirus.tas.gov.au/travellers-and-visitors/coming-to-tasmania

Did that Taz Robot just say..."Complimented instead of Pepper Spray?" So Funny!

This ain't over till it's over...Govt's promise a new rad Big Brother prank each day.

*Victoria demands 1st mandatory DNA swab (+Kidz) to enter Australia! (Legal?)
*Also added 10 days quarantine onto (14 days) if you don't surrender! (Legal?)
*24 days in world's only locked window suffocation Quarantine! (Legal?)
https://justiceconnect.org.au/resources/how-the-victorian-governments-em...
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-06-28/victoria-coronavirus-cases-rise-b...

UN Solitary Confinement for worst horrible meanest killer Prisoner Standards...
Big House :Sunny/Ventilation 22-23 hrs/day is 'unacceptable'.(10hrs/wk outdoors min)
UN: (Max) 15+ days confinement is Banned. (It's torture! Simply Horrific!)

Vic Quarantine for innocent happy Holidaying children with or without parents.
Vic hot hotels : 24hrs/day x 24 days (Blinds nailed shut >1 breath of air/wk.)

UN are so gonna sue Victoria for Human Rights abuse for the next 100 years.

Aussies are evil geniuses when it comes to torture...Big Brother is impressed!

Vic Local's picture
Vic Local's picture
Vic Local commented Wednesday, 1 Jul 2020 at 6:41pm

So blowin, it's all the state's responsibility then? Come back in a month after covid decimates the red states in the south. Those republican state governors had a three month warning about the impact of covid 19 and still managed to fuck it up royally. I'm sure you'll still find someone else to blame though. I'm tipping someone other than Trump or his arse-hat republican mates will be responsible according to you.

"angry online, smiley in the brine"

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin commented Wednesday, 1 Jul 2020 at 11:00pm

“ Decimates the red states”.....lol......less than 400 people out of every 1,000,000 supposedly die from it.

In four months of suspect and overwrought statistics, the USA has had 130,000 deaths based on any death counting as Wuflu even if they were dying anyway.

Each year almost 500,000 people die from smoking each year in the USA and they don’t stop the economy and lockdown the country.

Decimating....I thought you were all about reality and facts ?

How’s that 250,000,000 cases in Africa going ?

https://africanarguments.org/2020/07/01/coronavirus-in-africa-tracker-ho...

Maybe they’re waiting for the second wave= double lol.

views from the cockpit's picture
views from the cockpit's picture
views from the ... commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 12:01am

Hope its ok to copy and paste my comments from another thread that is more suitable here?
Coz I reckon TBB is on the money..again. As are a few other regulars.

"Quite frankly and being from Vic, I cant believe how shite a place Australia appears to be right now.
The absolute Covid paranoia I read about when comparing numbers against other countries and the number of deaths in Oz is ridiculous.
And not being able to leave the country??? Till next year? WTF is that?
As for quarantine on entry, didn't the Govt spend up on an App? Why not enforce Oz citizens on arrival to download and remain at home to be monitored rather than a
hotel? If breached = big fine?? Make testing mandatory perhaps?
Enforce social distancing, limited numbers in shops restaurants and supermarkets, wearing of masks for staff serving the public, etc.
Instead Oz is a giant Gestapo camp.
Wasn't the initial lock down designed to "flatten the curve" so that hospitals and
intensive care units weren't overwhelmed?
So thats been achieved and now what? Theres a few more numbers of infections but whose dying? Or even getting that crook?
I could go on...
Sure hope the whole shit show resolves itself before Xmas"

truebluebasher's picture
truebluebasher's picture
truebluebasher commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 12:49am

views from the...nails the Gestapo camp...Vic had an Army of baby sitters ready to go!
ACA films Army suffocating & swabbing isolated kidz. (Strategic withdrawal...Nice!)
Vic were one step away from Stolen Generation + overboard children in detention.
Hot Hotel schooling is next boom boarding school industry. Mums buy up inner circle!

shoredump's picture
shoredump's picture
shoredump commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 7:08am

The problem is people are looking at total numbers for Covid like never before.
Be that infections or deaths or whatever.

Of course those numbers are big and scary ffs

You’re better off looking at percentages. Like what percentage of under 70s Americans have died from covid. There’s your actual basket case number

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 7:31am

The US wouldn’t even put Australian style warnings on cigarettes because it’d damage the profits of a couple of companies but they shut down their entire economy due to the Wuflu .

The fix is in.

This was confirmed as they cheered on mass public protests whilst demanding the economy was choked out to enforce social distancing.

Vic Local's picture
Vic Local's picture
Vic Local commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 8:40am

7.31am eh blowin? Have you hit the piss early or been up all night?
Firstly, the USA did not "shut down their entire economy", and secondly, what "fix" are you babbling on about. Go have a private chat with Shortenism, get your stories straight and then let us know what this "fix" is all about.
PS I hope Soros and Gates are involved somehow.

"angry online, smiley in the brine"

Vic Local's picture
Vic Local's picture
Vic Local commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 8:57am

views from the cockpit. The covidsafe app has been a spectacular failure and hasn't traced a single person despite 6.5mil downloads. What did you expect when Minister Stuart Robert was in charge of the roll out? This is the same fuckwit behind the robo debt fiasco, and he paid $2000 per month (of our money) for 18 months of internet.
The guy is an arse-clown of the highest order.
Stick to flying around the Greek Islands views from the cockpit, and let the medical experts in Oz do the thinking on Covid 19 down under..

"angry online, smiley in the brine"

stunet's picture
stunet's picture
stunet commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 9:02am

"Quite frankly and being from Vic, I cant believe how shite a place Australia appears to be right now."

Hyperbole much? Do you read the papers, mate?

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 9:26am

Geez , Vic Local.....you are building up quite the history of talking shit.

Here’s the head of the US treasury ( note he uses the word AGAIN) https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-usa-mnuchin/us-can...

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/22/us/politics/coronavirus-economy-shutd...

If I was you , I’d stick to vibing outsiders who to come “your” beach with pouting stink eye and let the economics experts do the thinking.

Dale -Cooper's picture
Dale -Cooper's picture
Dale -Cooper commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 11:55am

Krist on a bike, it's the dreaded 2nd wave...

of Blowie!

Pray, brothers, for a quick cure.

“The dog leg. That dog had four legs. One you found in my trunk. The other three went out with the information you're thinking about right now. Two people you don't want coming around here if anything bad happens to me.”

Vic Local's picture
Vic Local's picture
Vic Local commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 12:38pm

OMG, you're quoting Trump's buddy Mnuchin to prove there's been a "shut down (of) their entire economy". First of all, they never shut down their entire economy, and secondly, you do realise Trump appoints the head of treasury and it's not like Australia where the Treasury head is an independent public servant. Please tell me you know that!!!
50,000 new cases yesterday, concentrated in the red states. The bodies are going to start piling up, but of course Trump and the Republican governors aren't to blame at all, because well, you know, look over there....more people die from smoking.
You're starting to look very foolish again.
I'm going to give billythekid a little credit here. He at least knew when to give up defending the indefensible. Not you blowin, you keep defending the moronic trump and his criminally incompetent administration which is crushing the USA and putting their own people in early graves.

"angry online, smiley in the brine"

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 12:45pm

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 1:00pm

What’s that chart supposed to be telling me , Craig ?

That whether you voted for Trump or not affects your chance of dying from Wuflu ?

FFS

GuySmiley's picture
GuySmiley's picture
GuySmiley commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 1:00pm

“ ..... and it's not like Australia where the Treasury head is an independent public servant.....”

While accepting your point VL, especially in a historical sense, with the ever increasing politicalisation of the public service since Howard’s time I truely doubt the independence of the Treasury Head or even the head of the RBA.

It’s one thing we all know is the current government likes appointing their own people to these type of positions. Another example is the Fair Work Commission which is stacked full of people from Industry and Commerce.

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 1:08pm

What point was there to accept ?

He’s talking dung. Straight to the ad hominem on who it was saying that the US economy had been shut down. The silly old Victard must be living under a rock if he thinks the Wuflu hasnt destroyed the US economy. Let him squabble over words if it helps him sleep at night.

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 1:18pm

Shows that Trump's complacency to the virus has rubbed off to his voters and now they're carrying the most infections around the country and spreading it instead of supressing the curve.

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 1:29pm

Such a scientific analysis, Craig. Loving the way you’ve completely ignored every other causative factor and focussed on a shallow , fictional and stereotypical attribute of a demographic which you’ve got no idea about.

For sure Trump voters are reckless and stupid. Not like mass groupings of people gathered to loot and riot all in the name of .....anti Trump .

Oops....I mean BLM ! That’s the protest , right ? ( lol ).

I’m sure their sanctimonious virtue will grant them viral immunity.

truebluebasher's picture
truebluebasher's picture
truebluebasher commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 1:30pm

Where else but Qld. (Whats New in Oz Border Conspiracies)
1st- 10th July Qld Border

March - National Cabinet agreed States will foot the bill for o/s arrivals Quarantine
29 May National Cabinet agreed to start billing for o/s arrivals Quarantine - July >
Qld / NT moved to bill Quarantine at State run Hot Hotels.
NSW (Police labour) will soon follow > Vic (Army Trial ?) still foot the bill.

Note Qld / NT o/s Arrivals includes all Aussies having to pay for State Quarantine.

1st July Qld Border (O/S arrivals)
Mandatory Screening ( DNA Swab or Jab?) New covert Oz arrival welcome is suss!
Mandatory 'billed' State (Only) Hot Hotels Quarantine
Cost = (14days) $2,800 person or $4,620 Family + ( 24hrs + Stop Over Fees apply)
Poor / Unemployed / Aged / Sick must 'Pay first' then supply Docs for exemption.
Discharge Form as proof ! Unsure if this Doc is Policed Interstate - return travel?
Loophole with interstate car license (wave thru) may be reviewed with Vic' focus.
https://www.qld.gov.au/health/conditions/health-alerts/coronavirus-covid...

Interstate Border Restrictions # (6)

Oz Covid-19 cases were low due to Distance > Antartica, Ocean, Deserts Halos.
NZ / World 1.8m -2.5m SD gave isolated Oz a 1.5m SD handicap but mattered less.
[Fact] State blockades were designed to direct & contain the virus in SE / Oz corner.
National cabinet voted on National strategy but Media never outed humble fact.
Big vast States low cases are due to Oz concerted SE directional transit flow.
Media failed to inform reverse North/West flow was blocked to trap virus in S/E Oz.
Qldurrz Salute Melbourne & Sydney for wearing the full frontal.
Interstate Deputy Health officers are assisting Victoria as of this week.

tbb apologizes for Qld Premier's turgid Hero claims & bombastic Southern taunts.
All feel for Victorians, but they're not Welcome here, is the same response Oz wide.

Qld Govt will implement "Enhanced Border Control Measures"
"Don't you love how our Police State says 'Enhanced' instead of kick yer head in!"

Oldurrz Covid Souvenir Pack
*Border Passes
*[ I.D ] Screening
*[ Forms ] to sign.(These are soon online!)
*We got wafers...No! tbb...[ Vic' Alien Enemy of the State Waivers ] Still good!

Qld joins or (Initiates) National-Interstate [ I.D.] Border Enforcement
Qld checkpoint > [ I.D.] + Fill out & sign declarations + Vic' waiver
Name + Address + Phone + Accom' Address + Last 30 days itinerary + (Non-Vic')

All (Non Vic') visitors are then free to roam @ 1.5m.

Essential Victorians...(Same as o/s enemy Aliens)
Note: Qld Premier > mandatory quarantine cost is $200/night (In Govt Hot Hotel)
Victorians pay their own mandatory 14 day Hot Hotel + Ventilation [No] or [No]
Refusal to comply = Extra 10 days Quarantine -24days...+ Kidz (1 breath / week)
Misleading information = $4,000 Penalty

https://www.covid19.qld.gov.au/government-actions/border-closing

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 1:37pm

Just to reinforce how objective your scientific conclusion is there , Craig.

It looks like Florida may be about to be decimated ( !!!!) . High body count. Mass casualties.....all because it’s a red state. It’s defining characteristic is that it’s full to the brim of dumb yokel , Trump worshipping recklessness and complacency !

“The 2016 United States presidential election in Florida was won by Donald Trump on November 8, 2016, with a plurality of 49.0% of the popular vote that included a 1.2% winning margin over Hillary Clinton, who had 47.8% of the vote.“

I’m sure the 47.8 percent who of Florida who voted for Hillary are doing the sensible thing and cowering in their homes from this death plague.

It’s the Republican’s fault . Completely.

Just don’t mention the fact that Cuomo put all the Wuflu sufferers back into nursing homes which then killed more people than anyone.

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 1:35pm

Sorry, I take those assumptions back, just wanted to post that image. I haven't been following the discussion in here at all and you're correct it needs more analysis. That was just riffing thoughts off the top of my head.

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 1:40pm

I’m just taking the piss anyway , Craig. I don’t for a second imagine you’re the type of bloke who lets political partisanship blind you to objectivity. I’m just having too good a time revving up the retards who barrack for their chosen team irrespective of the reality .

Vic Local's picture
Vic Local's picture
Vic Local commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 2:55pm

. “I’m just having too good a time revving up the retards who barrack for their chosen team irrespective of the reality”
Wow blowin. Self awareness isn’t a strong suit with you.
And as for the use of the word “retard” can you get any more offensive? I have a few friends who have differently abled kids. It’s nobody’s fault and they cope the best they can creating a loving home. Calling people “retards” is just a deplorable thing to do. It shows everyone what an awful person you are.

"angry online, smiley in the brine"

Eugene Green's picture
Eugene Green's picture
Eugene Green commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 3:00pm

You have “a few” friends with retarded kids? What are the odds?

Vic Local's picture
Vic Local's picture
Vic Local commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 3:10pm

No Eugene, I have a few friends with disabled kids. If you have say 100-200 friends that’s not unusual.

"angry online, smiley in the brine"

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 3:35pm

I assuming a quantifiable mental deficiency amongst those who argue that Trump supporters are more or less likely to get Wuflu.

If you don’t want to be counted amongst those with a verifiable retardation then don’t act like you are.

Vic Local's picture
Vic Local's picture
Vic Local commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 3:38pm

I don’t say this lightly blowin but you are a really horrible person.

"angry online, smiley in the brine"

Eugene Green's picture
Eugene Green's picture
Eugene Green commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 3:54pm

Especially in Vicco right?

Spuddups's picture
Spuddups's picture
Spuddups commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 5:24pm

I agree with Stunet. Australia is in a spot of bother due to Coronavirus at the moment, but other than that it’s still a farken’ epic place to live.

Spuddups's picture
Spuddups's picture
Spuddups commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 5:25pm

By the way, I’m enjoying the Vic-Local vs Blowin show immensely. Keep up the good work felluhs.

Vic Local's picture
Vic Local's picture
Vic Local commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 5:29pm

I’m glad I entertain you spuddups.

"angry online, smiley in the brine"

GuySmiley's picture
GuySmiley's picture
GuySmiley commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 5:37pm

Its time

Screen-Shot-2020-07-02-at-5-34-27-pm

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 7:25pm

Authorities starting to close the net on society under the guise of the killer , mass casualty, plague virus .

https://www.smh.com.au/national/victoria/elite-police-drones-to-roam-loc...

Vic Local's picture
Vic Local's picture
Vic Local commented Thursday, 2 Jul 2020 at 7:28pm

Tell us more blowin. Name names and what are the objectives? Is this a communist thing with links to the CCP? Is it linked to global warming and George Soros?

"angry online, smiley in the brine"