Late this week we may see another strong high move into the Tasman with a SE surge building up the coast and building swells Fri into the weekend, possibily getting sizey if a low pressure trough forms off the CQ coast.
O’night Sat into Sun the Coral Sea low will merge with the NSW low forming a deep and powerful low pressure system in the Northern Tasman.
If anything that eastwards movement looks slower than modelled on Wed so large surf will persist at elevated levels for longer.
The weekend is a write-off with improving surf across metro locations early week, better across the South West from Wednesday onwards.
If anything that eastwards movement looks slower than modelled on Wed so large surf will persist at elevated levels for longer.
The South Coast will improve all weekend with plenty of west swell next week with windows opening up for the Mid Coast from Wednesday.
The wind will remain a little funky though workable tomorrow, much better from Sunday. Increasing westerly swells are due through next week/weekend.
A deep, complex low pressure system (see Beast from the East) then forms in the Tasman and slowly migrates towards the North Island with large E’ly swell pulses generated over a prolonged period.
That will lead to elevated surf from the SE-E for most of next week with just a very slow, gradual tapering off as the fetch slowly weakens while remaining basically semi-stationary.
