Troughiness next week does offer potential for low pressure development in the Tasman but we’ve got high model variability so confidence is very low in the outcomes.
A high pressure ridge across the state will bring light morning winds and afternoon sea breezes on Tuesday, as wave heights continue to ease.
Saturday morning looks great at Victor with easing swells and freshening northerly winds as a vigorous front approaches from the west.
Into the weekend and a fetch tracking NE towards WA related to the decaying front brings a nice pulse of S/SW swell for the weekend.
The models have a juicy mid-latitude low forming just west of Tasmania over the weekend which could lead to some very dynamic surf conditions.
Weak high pressure remains in the Tasman with weak breezes in the Coral Sea already contracting eastwards. That may see some gusty rideable surf tomorrow but quickly dissipating back to tiny/flat through the rest of the week.
Another unstable, troughy week ahead with humid, unstable air over the continent creating a series of troughs, one of which forms a slow moving trough of low pressure off the Mid North Coast which interacts with a weak high pressure cell drifting in the Tasman. That will supply some workable E/NE quadrant swell along with more local E swell.
Another unstable, troughy week ahead with humid, unstable air over the continent creating a series of troughs, one of which forms a slow moving trough of low pressure off the Mid North Coast which interacts with a weak high pressure cell drifting in the Tasman.
Another unstable, troughy week ahead with humid, unstable air over the continent creating a series of troughs, one of which forms a slow moving trough of low pressure off the Mid North Coast which interacts with a weak high pressure cell drifting in the Tasman. That will supply some workable E quadrant swell favouring temperate NSW.
But, the weekend is still looking very promising too.
