Very subdued short term, still watching the tropics for signs of low pressure development

freeride76

Very subdued short term, still watching the tropics for signs of low pressure development

freeride76

Model divergence remains pronounced for the outcomes from this, with GFS still suggesting some kind of trough/easterly dip and enhanced E’ly swells. The European model has a more subdued outlook with a weaker high and trade-wind band remaining further north in line with seasonal norms.

Possible pumping surf next week

freeride76

Possible pumping surf next week

freeride76

On it’s own that will see a broad E’ly fetch develop likely in the New Caledonia quadrant, extending into the South Pacific slot. GFS adds to that recipe for a round of (sizey) trade swell with a deepening trough in the Coral Sea which spawns a surface low mid week, currently modelled to track southwards into the Tasman.