James KC

Extended run of waves

South-east Queensland and Northern NSW Surf Forecast by James Casey (issued Wednesday 5th May)

Best Days: Thursday, Sunday

Outlook:

  • Pulse of larger E swell on Thursday into Friday up towards 4-6ft in SE Qld, bigger south of the border, 6ft+ for N NSW and 6-8ft for MNC
  • E Pulse on Saturday sustaining waves around that 4-6ft mark in SE Qld, bigger south of the border
  • Easing into Sunday 
  • Start of next week hitting a low point of 3ft on Monday/Tuesday
  • E swell to continue into the tail of next week with another pulse on Wednesday/Thursday

Recap

We had nice conditions yesterday with 3-4ft sets (widely debated on in the notes) with the odd larger set. Winds were light and offshore in the morning mainly out of the W/SW and tending light and onshore in the afternoon. 

South of the border for N NSW winds and wave heights were similar. Meanwhile the MNC had light winds out of the N/NW, tending NE in the afternoon but remaining light. 

Today, waves are a little smaller than yesterday but still in that 3ft range. Winds have been offshore for most of the day with a bit more S in it this afternoon.

This week

An easterly trough low will form today pinching the ridge of high pressure creating a more solid pulse of E swell thanks to an intensification of E winds on the eastern flank of the low. There will also be a secondary fetch up near New Caledonia thanks to a trough extending east. 

This larger pulse of E swell will be sustained into the end of the week and start of the weekend. 

Tomorrow (Thursday) looks like the pick of the next few days as W/SW winds keep things clean all day. South of the border winds will be more out of the S/SW, keeping things clean along the points and southern corners but a bit bumpier along the open beaches. Waves will be around the 4ft mark at most exposed beaches, smaller on the points.

Winds will intensify around the eastern flank of the low and associated trough extending out towards New Caledonia as it pinches the ridge, bringing a larger pulse of waves for Friday morning. Expect a widespread 4-6ft for open beaches in SE QLD, with larger surf south of the border - around 6ft+ for N NSW and up towards 6-8ft for the MNC.

Unfortunately winds will start out of the W/NW and tend more N/NW and strengthen on Friday. South of the border winds will start off W/NW and tend more N into the afternoon. This will mean the southern corners that are handling the swell best will be a little bumpy. The better option will be along the beach breaks and protected northern corners.

Into the weekend 

Wave heights will remain around 4-6ft for SE QLD, 6ft+ for N NSW and 6-8ft for the MNC into the start of the weekend. Winds will once again be out of the NW on Saturday morning making the points a little ruffled. In the afternoon winds will strengthen out of the N to NE so you’ll need to head to protected northern corners. South of the border winds look more W/NW early but tend light and E/NE in the afternoon. 

Sunday will see wave heights begin to ease towards the 4-5ft mark for SE QLD and towards the 5-6ft mark for south of the border. With winds light and variable out of the W/NW in the morning there’ll be some waves on offer. Winds will go NE in the early afternoon. South of the border winds will be more W and be lighter and more variable in the afternoon. 

Next week

Monday will see the E swell level out at 3ft continuing into Tuesday. This E swell is thanks to the trade swell setup to the north of NZ. A NE flow will prevent decent waves for the entire day with the light and variable offshore winds in the morning your best wave quality option.

There will be no shortage of E swell into the tail end of next week as the ridge continues to direct E/NE winds towards our region. At this stage there looks to be a pulse on Wednesday into Thursday mainly for the Sunny Coast and Gold Coast, less size south of the border. 

We’ll have a closer look on Friday and give you an updated forecast then.

Comments

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben Wednesday, 5 May 2021 at 5:27pm
seaslug's picture
seaslug's picture
seaslug Wednesday, 5 May 2021 at 6:11pm

Spectacular photo

Jay-Jay's picture
Jay-Jay's picture
Jay-Jay Wednesday, 5 May 2021 at 9:01pm

Photos ... scroll through for some awesome pics.

tomrnoir's picture
tomrnoir's picture
tomrnoir Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 10:19am

Really good until I got jumped by a massive baitball. That was enough for me.

Heaps of variance in size in the area I checked. One spot 3-5ft and two others, 2-3ft.

gingeryeti's picture
gingeryeti's picture
gingeryeti Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 10:36am

"Unfortunately winds will start out of the W/NW"

Why are you sad about these winds?

donweather's picture
donweather's picture
donweather Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 10:54am

I'm assuming because they're no good for the points.

gingeryeti's picture
gingeryeti's picture
gingeryeti Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 6:45pm

Who cares about points when you have nice beachies?

AndyM's picture
AndyM's picture
AndyM Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 11:58am

A bit slow today but some sick ones when they came.
Clean 3ft+ perfection.

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 11:59am

Frustrating surf this morning. Waves were cooking but I was never in the right spot at the right time. Really big playing field, ended up chasing my tail a lot. 

Amazing to watch though, conditions were fantastic. Mainly 3ft, couple of solid 4ft sets.

burleigh's picture
burleigh's picture
burleigh Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 12:56pm

Not good at Burleigh. heaps of water moving from the creek creating a weird lump making most waves horrible.

burzum's picture
burzum's picture
burzum Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 1:44pm

yep. Plus there have been a couple of noahs sniffing around the point the last couple of days. Cooly is a much better option.

Plasticspastic's picture
Plasticspastic's picture
Plasticspastic Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 1:01pm

Surf this week has been epic.., whilst similar swell, minor variances in period, swell direction and sand movement over this week has kept where I have been surfing on the Gc so much fun.. today (long rip bowl rights) was so different from yesterday(peaky barrels and wedges).. but soo good... bit more a wait today though.. I won’t dare put a size on it...:)

Ben Harding's picture
Ben Harding's picture
Ben Harding Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 4:00pm

+1 on that front plastic

AndyM's picture
AndyM's picture
AndyM Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 1:42pm

Yeah saw a few people having those sessions Ben.
Slow and shifty meant that you really had to chase them.
But worth it when you could get easy barrels backdooring the suck rock.

AndyM's picture
AndyM's picture
AndyM Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 1:42pm

3ft Plastic! ;)

freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 1:46pm

frustration too.
thought it was really on the build and waited for what I thought was the most favourable tide .......it got slower.
c'est la vie.

Jono's picture
Jono's picture
Jono Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 2:14pm

Cooking where I was, sand/swell combo was perfect. Best day in a long time, and only 6 out. Seemed to die off mid morning, but a bit earlier it was pulsing.

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 2:23pm

Such a nice day for a paddle.

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 2:25pm

Cooking.

AndyM's picture
AndyM's picture
AndyM Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 2:33pm

Yeah it's been weird like that FR.

You think it should start to get some more push but it dies.

freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 2:44pm

fatal mistake to try and over-think these pulsey tradewind swells.

came back and the goats had got out and were on the road.....panic stations.

goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 3:05pm

Those goats will be the death of you. Always up to no good.

seaslug's picture
seaslug's picture
seaslug Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 5:07pm

My favourite yogurt is made from goats milk FR and GF

AndyM's picture
AndyM's picture
AndyM Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 3:33pm

Haha, absolute classic!
As long as, you know, no-one got hurt.

Yeah I've just been heading out mid-morning and there's been some absolute gems.
Reminiscent of the quality of last year.

freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 3:41pm

down your way?

AndyM's picture
AndyM's picture
AndyM Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 4:04pm

Roger.

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 4:07pm

Victoria!

The book!

crg's picture
crg's picture
crg Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 3:16pm

P U M P I N G :-)

skunktour's picture
skunktour's picture
skunktour Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 3:47pm

I’ve taken tomorrow off as I’ve missed every day this week except Monday. I hope this south swell does t take over and ruin the beschies (lefts)

scrotina's picture
scrotina's picture
scrotina Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 4:08pm

good waves everywhere but i found nowhere perfect which was a shame considering the conditions. checked a few southern gc beachies, bit slow then close out sets. headed down the tweed and found fun surf but was hoping for heaving pits.

dawnperiscope's picture
dawnperiscope's picture
dawnperiscope Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 4:14pm

Interesting note from my local beachie today is that the waves started approaching from the SE at about 9:30am. Strange but very obvious shift in conditions. Made some of the lefts even better.

Jono's picture
Jono's picture
Jono Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 7:34pm

Bomb set on the Tweed at dusk. Sorry about the quality, it's zoomed and cropped from my phone. Impressive size, 98% chance the SUP rider is Justin Holland.

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 8:18pm

Cue the sound of skis being serviced....

Distracted's picture
Distracted's picture
Distracted Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 9:11pm

This arvo was the biggest it has been all week on the MNC.

hamishbro's picture
hamishbro's picture
hamishbro Thursday, 6 May 2021 at 9:31pm

Pity about the northerlies in May.

boogiefever's picture
boogiefever's picture
boogiefever Friday, 7 May 2021 at 7:17am

Gold coast beachies definately getting the best of this swell...

spidermonkey's picture
spidermonkey's picture
spidermonkey Friday, 7 May 2021 at 7:54am

Yeah agree, it's been terrible up on the S/C..... Goldy is the place to be

Robo's picture
Robo's picture
Robo Friday, 7 May 2021 at 8:08am

Kicked again in Coffs, yesterdays report said 3ft was easy 5-6ft, today's looking like 6ft plus sets and not as clean, was a great 3 days.

Ben Harding's picture
Ben Harding's picture
Ben Harding Friday, 7 May 2021 at 8:59am

Cue the outrage and disbelief...

nah I'm with ya robo, unreal week of waves with obvious and big variances in size across the whole coast. Impossible for anyone to put an honest assessment of size at any other place other than the one they surfed themselves.

Bit too straight this morning, shame as I thought the south in it would open up the rights abit more.

stevehamilton_'s picture
stevehamilton_'s picture
stevehamilton_ Friday, 7 May 2021 at 9:57am

seems like the early high tides with the pick up in swell the last couple of days have created a slight backwashy situation disturbing the clean lines out the back. where i checked anyway on tweed and southern gc. cleaned up later in morn but still mainly straight. but could find gems if you chased down corners and/ or odd peaks

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben Friday, 7 May 2021 at 10:01am

Easy 6ft sets on the Tweed this morning. Coupla spots pumping. Coupla others, not so.

How's this weather, eh? Warm, clear water, blue skies... divine.

juegasiempre's picture
juegasiempre's picture
juegasiempre Friday, 7 May 2021 at 10:02am

Since Tuesday the northern beaches of the GC have been cooking. I broke the nose off my step up yesterday and was struggling this morning on my smaller shortboard. Could've been because I've been surfing for 4 days straight as well. Before this was shithouse S swells and other nonsense so my fitness was at a low coming into it.

I call this morning 5-6ft on the sets but it was a tiny bit lumpier and sweepier than the other mornings, you can check the narrowneck cam now and it's still big.

I checked yesterday at the southern beachies because I was down there running an errand and it was HEAPS smaller and crappier. Where the forecaster takes photos of the Gold Coast report if you know. Get up there and get amongst it! Hasn't been too crowded either unlike when it's 2ft and offshore.

If the conditions were like this more often, I wouldn't be dreaming of greener pastures so much. Much love to all. I'm tapping out for tomorrow and hopefully it's still around from Sunday onwards.

uncle_nico's picture
uncle_nico's picture
uncle_nico Friday, 7 May 2021 at 2:22pm

Why post this if you want a continuation of the low crowds. Surely you realise this won’t help the cause?

Troppo's picture
Troppo's picture
Troppo Friday, 7 May 2021 at 7:46pm

I'd post it too - especially if I live anywhere but the northern GC beaches.

Well played @juegasiempre!

GC northern beaches are firing. Go there everyone. Even free ice creams after your epic surf!!!

freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 Friday, 7 May 2021 at 11:40am

Proper juice this morning.

Plasticspastic's picture
Plasticspastic's picture
Plasticspastic Friday, 7 May 2021 at 11:54am

nah 3-3 ft max :)

freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 Friday, 7 May 2021 at 1:04pm

got a couple of bangers, semi-destroyed a 6'3" Maurice Cole protow and got back just in time for kids cross-country race.
good little mixed bag.

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin Friday, 7 May 2021 at 1:44pm

The waves made me happy.

AndyM's picture
AndyM's picture
AndyM Friday, 7 May 2021 at 1:54pm

Fucking sick.

So good.

freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 Friday, 7 May 2021 at 2:19pm

get some good ones Andy?

I felt like I was sitting in D's spot.

AndyM's picture
AndyM's picture
AndyM Friday, 7 May 2021 at 2:44pm

Screamers.
Quite a few solid drops, heaps of walls to play with and a couple of trips the length of the point.
Seemed like a lot of people either couldn't get into or didn't want the sets so I got my fair share.
Bigger board helped a lot.

AndyM's picture
AndyM's picture
AndyM Friday, 7 May 2021 at 2:49pm

How about you, pick off some bombs?

freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 Friday, 7 May 2021 at 2:54pm

aye. good little sesh.

AndyM's picture
AndyM's picture
AndyM Friday, 7 May 2021 at 3:07pm

I just figured out what you meant.

Yeah Happy D has that spot on lockdown, it produces the goods, especially when he gets that albatross wingspan going :)

Plasticspastic's picture
Plasticspastic's picture
Plasticspastic Friday, 7 May 2021 at 3:51pm

funny to see the vibe of the comments as different parts of the coast fire..

gc beachies were cooking early in the week with lower swell periods, everyone in the shire is grumpy, as it doesn't make the point anygood.

today swell period jumps, GC beachies get straighter, Shire kicks into gear...

Ben Harding's picture
Ben Harding's picture
Ben Harding Friday, 7 May 2021 at 6:24pm

...GC crew go about their day grateful for the week that's been.

Plasticspastic's picture
Plasticspastic's picture
Plasticspastic Friday, 7 May 2021 at 6:39pm

fuck yeah.. got barreled every day, and generally crew of less than 10.....