Extended run of waves
South-east Queensland and Northern NSW Surf Forecast by James Casey (issued Wednesday 5th May)
Best Days: Thursday, Sunday
- Pulse of larger E swell on Thursday into Friday up towards 4-6ft in SE Qld, bigger south of the border, 6ft+ for N NSW and 6-8ft for MNC
- E Pulse on Saturday sustaining waves around that 4-6ft mark in SE Qld, bigger south of the border
- Easing into Sunday
- Start of next week hitting a low point of 3ft on Monday/Tuesday
- E swell to continue into the tail of next week with another pulse on Wednesday/Thursday
We had nice conditions yesterday with 3-4ft sets (widely debated on in the notes) with the odd larger set. Winds were light and offshore in the morning mainly out of the W/SW and tending light and onshore in the afternoon.
South of the border for N NSW winds and wave heights were similar. Meanwhile the MNC had light winds out of the N/NW, tending NE in the afternoon but remaining light.
Today, waves are a little smaller than yesterday but still in that 3ft range. Winds have been offshore for most of the day with a bit more S in it this afternoon.
An easterly trough low will form today pinching the ridge of high pressure creating a more solid pulse of E swell thanks to an intensification of E winds on the eastern flank of the low. There will also be a secondary fetch up near New Caledonia thanks to a trough extending east.
This larger pulse of E swell will be sustained into the end of the week and start of the weekend.
Tomorrow (Thursday) looks like the pick of the next few days as W/SW winds keep things clean all day. South of the border winds will be more out of the S/SW, keeping things clean along the points and southern corners but a bit bumpier along the open beaches. Waves will be around the 4ft mark at most exposed beaches, smaller on the points.
Winds will intensify around the eastern flank of the low and associated trough extending out towards New Caledonia as it pinches the ridge, bringing a larger pulse of waves for Friday morning. Expect a widespread 4-6ft for open beaches in SE QLD, with larger surf south of the border - around 6ft+ for N NSW and up towards 6-8ft for the MNC.
Unfortunately winds will start out of the W/NW and tend more N/NW and strengthen on Friday. South of the border winds will start off W/NW and tend more N into the afternoon. This will mean the southern corners that are handling the swell best will be a little bumpy. The better option will be along the beach breaks and protected northern corners.
Into the weekend
Wave heights will remain around 4-6ft for SE QLD, 6ft+ for N NSW and 6-8ft for the MNC into the start of the weekend. Winds will once again be out of the NW on Saturday morning making the points a little ruffled. In the afternoon winds will strengthen out of the N to NE so you’ll need to head to protected northern corners. South of the border winds look more W/NW early but tend light and E/NE in the afternoon.
Sunday will see wave heights begin to ease towards the 4-5ft mark for SE QLD and towards the 5-6ft mark for south of the border. With winds light and variable out of the W/NW in the morning there’ll be some waves on offer. Winds will go NE in the early afternoon. South of the border winds will be more W and be lighter and more variable in the afternoon.
Monday will see the E swell level out at 3ft continuing into Tuesday. This E swell is thanks to the trade swell setup to the north of NZ. A NE flow will prevent decent waves for the entire day with the light and variable offshore winds in the morning your best wave quality option.
There will be no shortage of E swell into the tail end of next week as the ridge continues to direct E/NE winds towards our region. At this stage there looks to be a pulse on Wednesday into Thursday mainly for the Sunny Coast and Gold Coast, less size south of the border.
We’ll have a closer look on Friday and give you an updated forecast then.