Tuesday will start to build surf size, originating the fetch trailing Monday’s front. However, the origins of this swell will go back five or six days - this system has actually been taking shape from a position south of Africa on Wednesday, before moving eastwards through the southern Indian Ocean.

At best, we have a brief window of light winds early Saturday morning, and this will be the only window of opportunity to surf down south.

That fetch will be positioned too far south for CQ and as a result of that we’ll see mostly tiny surf next week.

We’ve got good model agreement now that through Mon we’ll see a deep trough develop from the Coral Sea down to a terminus somewhere on the MNC to lower North Coast with good odds we will see a surface low develop at that terminus.