Hold out for Sunday! Until then, brisk southelry breezes are likely to lead to pretty diabolical conditions. From Sunday we should see early morning offshores each day into early next week.
Not much to work with for the early stages of the week, but the Tasman looks to become very active later in the week and across the weekend. Saturday and Sunday should pulse in the 4-5ft range, although winds look tricky.
Make the most of this weekend, it's likely to be the last decent surf for a while. Early stages of next week are looking pretty small as the swell windows take a break.
Thursday should see the last decent kick from Ex-TC Victor, before slowly fading. A gusty northerly fetch will generate a short range windswell, with small amounts of southeasterly swell also in the mix late week.
And the run of solid groundswell continues. The sets will ease slightly over the coming days to a low of 3-4ft on Wednesday, before a pulse provides more consistent sets in the 3-5ft range on Thursday. A shortern range NE and SE swell should then come into play late week and over the weekend.
TC Victor swell will be the best source of swell over the long weekend, but be patient, there will be a significant wait between waves. Don't paddle around, and share the sets. There will be a lot of punters this weekend.
Week NE windswells are on the cards in the short term, however the main focus is E/NE windswll generated by Severe Tropical Cyclone Victor. This swell is looking fun for open beaches right up until early next week with sets forecast to move into the 3-4ft range over the weekend.
We are looking at a modest but workable SE swell on Tuesday morning, but the real excitement comes from Ula's bigger brother Victor which has the potential to deliver inconsistent 3-4ft sets by the weekend.
Southeasterly breezes will make it tricky to find a decent wave over the weekend, improving with time. Monday's southeasterly swell has now been delayed and severely downgraded. Thursday brings the next best chance of a fun, clean northeasterly windswell.
Hot northwesterly breezes are likely to keep conditions clean on Thursday, before a gusty southerly buster rips up the coast generating a sizey, low quality windswell for Friday. Persistent southerlies are likely to limit options to open beaches over the better part of the weekend, improving slightly on Sunday. Monday and Tuesday are looking good for a fun southeasterly swell of a developing Tasman low.