Average outlook continues

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Western Australian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday February 7th)

Best Days: Desperate surfers on the South West magnets Friday morning, the South West Wednesday and Thursday mornings next week.

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

  • Small pulse of mid-period SW swell Fri with gusty E/NE winds ahead of mid-late PM sea breezes
  • Fading swell on the weekend with E/NE-NE tending fresh N/NE then NW winds Sat, S/SE tending S/SW
  • Moderate sized, mid-period S/SW swell building Tue with strong S/SE-S winds, peaking Wed AM with gusty SE tending S/SE winds
  • Easing swell Thu with E/SE winds


Great conditions yesterday morning but with a small, fading swell from the 3ft range in the South West, tiny to the north. Today is even smaller with a stronger offshore wind.

This week and weekend (Feb 8 - 11)

The current poor outlook is due to continue into the end of the weekend.

Tomorrow morning looks to be a low point in swell but with clean conditions again and relatively weak afternoon sea breezes.

Our small pulse of mid-period SW swell for Friday is just that, generated by a weak, south-east tracking tropical depression with no healthy fetch aimed towards us. A small bump to 2-3ft may be seen across the South West magnets under gusty E/NE winds that will go variable ahead of mid-late afternoon sea breezes.

Saturday looks smaller and slower with waves to 2ft to maybe 3ft in the South West, fading through Sunday. Winds will be best Saturday morning and E/NE-NE in the morning, freshening from N/NE and then NW into the afternoon as a trough moves across us. In the wake of the trough, less favourable S/SE tending S/SW winds are due on Sunday so it'll be average.

Next week looks a little more active as a couple of stronger polar storms fire up in our southern swell window, though a little to late and east to generate any major surf.

The first system will generate a broad fetch of strong W/SW winds through our southern swell window, with a moderate sized, mid-period S/SW swell due to arrive later Tuesday but peak Wednesday to 4-5ft in the South West, tiny to the north.

Winds as the swell builds look unfavourable and S/SE, with Wednesday offering gusty SE tending strong S winds.

Thursday looks smaller but nice and clean again with an E/SE offshore ahead of sea breezes.

A secondary pulse of possible larger SW groundswell is on the cards for Friday but the models diverge on this source. More on this Friday.


seaslug's picture
seaslug's picture
seaslug Thursday, 8 Feb 2024 at 9:06pm

Thanks Craig. Any long range forecasts for the Indian ocean basin for Autumn?