The low (Ex TC Cody) is drifting slowly south-southeastwards towards the North Island with an extensive swath of storm force (50knot) winds along the south-western flank. These storm forces winds are embedded in an expansive gale force wind field.
The incoming swell looks to be initially a little more west in nature which is a plus.
TC Cody is the main game in town and the system has now undergone extra-tropical transition and is classified as a storm force sub-tropical low.
We've got an average run of winds and conditions, spoiling a good quality groundswell next week.
Into next week and another large cyclonic gyre forms over the North Pacific on the weekend/early next week. Gales to severe gales slingshot along the edge of the gyre, with a captured fetch reaching closer than 1000nm of Hawaii by Mon.
In the tropics TC Cody is drifting south through the South Pacific window , spraying the NSW/QLD coast with swell. The fetch is not well aimed for NETas but radial spread from the source should see some inconsistent 3-4ft sets through Mon, into Tues with winds much better on Mon.
Tiny surf to end off the week and weekend, more active next week though onshore.
Breaks with exposed access to the east will see better quality E swell through Thurs and Fri from TC Cody as it drifts south from Fiji towards the North Island.
Current ASCAT (satellite windspeed) passes show a healthy fetch of E’ly winds flanking TC Cody as drifts south/south-east of the area between Fiji and New Caledonia towards the North Island.
The slow outlook continues but there'll be one fun day on the weekend and also later next week.
