Cold, onshore week
Cold, onshore week
Persistent onshore winds with only short periods of lighter, cross-offshore breezes and moderate pulses of southerly swell.
Persistent onshore winds with only short periods of lighter, cross-offshore breezes and moderate pulses of southerly swell.
A strong node of the Long Wave Trough is steering fronts into the Tasman Sea while a negative phase of the SAM (Southern Annular Mode) is bringing the southern Ocean storm track into a more northerly latitude, closer to the Australian continent and Tasman Sea. Both those factors will drive a series of strong cold fronts this week, with a step-ladder effect likely on swell pulses as each subsequent front works on an already charged sea state.
A slow moving node of the Long Wave Trough will direct persistent, strengthening polar fronts through our swell window bringing lots of swell but less than ideal winds.
Using today's results in Southern NSW as a proxy, we should see some solid south swell across Northern NSW on Saturday.
Sunday’s NW quadrant wind trend will be related to an advancing frontal progression across the south-eastern corner of the country, associated with an amplifying Long Wave Trough.
Fading energy into the weekend ahead of building levels of S'ly swell in size and period later next week and weekend.
Nothing major until mid-late next week but with cold weather and onshore winds.
Building surf with improving and strengthening offshore winds, tricky mid-late next week.
A windy and stormy weekend of surf with protected spots down South fairing best, mostly poor and onshore next week.
Following our first cold outbreak of the season last weekend and earlier this week, we've got another progression of cold fronts and polar air due to make its way up and across us through next week under the influence of a strong node of the Long Wave Trough. This node will be slow moving, taking its time to cross the Tasman Sea and then across New Zealand next weekend.