Fading surf with some new swell due later next week

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

South-east Queensland and Northern NSW Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 12th June)

Best Days: Today, tomorrow morning for the keen on the magnets, Friday morning south magnets in NSW

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

  • Easing E/SE swell tomorrow with offshore winds and afternoon sea breezes
  • Small S'ly swell building Thu PM across the MNC with E/SE winds
  • Peak in S swell early Fri, easing with W/SW tending fresh S/SE winds
  • Possible E swell later next week


A good pulse of new E/SE swell for the weekend, coming in at an infrequent 2ft to occasionally 3ft across NSW, 3ft+ across the magnets in SE Qld.

The swell held into Sunday across most locations, with a slight easing trend now being seen. Those who have a keen eye would have noticed the 20s, long-period trace on the Tweed wave buoy. This is long-range S'ly groundswell that was generated south-southwest of Western Australia at the start of last week.

This week and weekend (Jun 13 - 18)

This forecast will be brief with Steve being back on board with a much more detailed analysis Wednesday.

There's not much to talk abut this week unfortunately.

Our small pulses of E'ly swell from over the ditch are due to ease tomorrow, bottoming out into Wednesday thanks to the weak low linked to it, dropping behind New Zealand on Saturday.

Fading 1-2ft sets are due tomorrow morning with offshore winds, tiny and peaky Wednesday with a little NE windswell in the mix.

The next increase in size will arrive out of the S'th and be a fleeting mid-period number.

The source is a high riding, weak mid-latitude low moving across the south-east of the country on Wednesday, exiting eastern Bass Strait into the evening.

A brief fetch of strong W/SW winds will be aimed north of New Zealand, with the swell due to build into Thursday afternoon across the Mid North Coast, late to the north, with Friday morning looking the best time to try and get a small wave in.

E/SE-SE sea breezes will create bumpy conditions when the swell builds Thursday, with light W/SW winds due Friday morning ahead of fresher S/SE breezes into the afternoon. The south magnets should offer 2ft to possibly 3ft sets, easing through the day with nothing seen north of the border.

The weekend looks void of any swell, as does early to mid next week, but longer term we've got model agreement regarding a deepening and expanding low to the east and then north-east of New Zealand next week. This could generate a good pulse of E'ly swell late week if it doesn't sit too far south and behind New Zealand. More on this Wednesday.


toncie's picture
toncie's picture
toncie Tuesday, 13 Jun 2023 at 11:55am

Hey is this where we go to have a winge?
Nah, anyway, tried to make things work on my daily driver in some pretty average conditions today.
Then put twins in a wide quad I'd about given up on, thinking it'd make the board worse. Then I put in some serious kook work. Getting into ones I was missing, going super fast, making sections , doing goofy shit. Man i needed that!
Five days of waves with a fair dose of frustration and a flat spell due.
So, average board with the wrong fins in poor conditions = heaps fun. Who knew!

Sprout's picture
Sprout's picture
Sprout Tuesday, 13 Jun 2023 at 12:44pm

Good stuff toncie!
I was pleasantly surprised this morning, heaps of fun.

udo's picture
udo's picture
udo Tuesday, 13 Jun 2023 at 1:18pm

Unreal Tonce...post some pics of that Quaddy Twinny Thingy...

Solitude's picture
Solitude's picture
Solitude Tuesday, 13 Jun 2023 at 1:15pm

Don’t think the words ‘flat spell’ have been uttered for at least two year

groovie's picture
groovie's picture
groovie Wednesday, 14 Jun 2023 at 4:44am

The pendulum has swung!