E’ly gales in a broad fetch remain into the new week with a massive high new New Zealand (1042hPa) acting as supporting cradle for the Tasman low which will be drifting eastwards to a slot north of the North Island.
Conditions are expected to be mostly lumpy to end the week, improving slowly over the weekend. Next week looks large out of the west.
Winds will mostly spoil the surf over the coming days, improving from Sunday. Next week looks interesting from Wednesday.
Upgrade in swell for tomorrow, large pulses next week.
It’s a real monster of a system and we may see some long range SE-E/SE swell at spots open to the north of k’gari and the Breaksea spit with some 2-3ft sets through Tues and Wed.
That low looks to be a monster of a system. As the deep low moves eastwards towards the North Island it aims up gales to severe gales back towards the east coast and we’re on track to receive some powerful swell from the E/NE through next week.
Tomorrow and Wednesday will be mostly poor, better from Friday.
There’s broad model agreement now for a low to form off the sub-tropical coast and merge with a Coral Sea low pressure centre, deepening explosively through Sat and into Sun.
The current large swell will ease steadily into tomorrow as winds slowly improve, best Wednesday morning but smallest. A new SW swell will arrive through the day though.
The coming outlooks favours the South Coast with good to great surf due from later week into the weekend.
