On Friday, similarly small conditions will persist through the morning but a new south swell is expected to push through the middle of the day.
Lots of swell on tap this week with generally good conditions too.
The weekend outlook has been tricky all week, and even at less than a day out it’s still very complex.
The whole synoptic pattern surrounding this developing trough and possible East Coast Low has been stalled by a day or so. This means we’re looking at building swells and mainly dodgy winds on Saturday, with a peak in size on Sunday and a better chance for improving conditions.
Friday looks pretty dynamic, with the North Coast trough deepening considerably - possibly forming an East Coast Low - before the whole pattern drifts southwards.
Wave models have a minor reinforcement of E’ly swell due early Saturday morning, extending from the same fetch that produced today’s waves - essentially, an infeed of NE winds into the broad but slowly weakening Tasman trough
Our fun lovin' ECL is now dissipating into a broad trough encompassing the greater western half of the Tasman Sea.
The broader synoptic outlook is a little complex as the atmospheric models have a couple of solutions possible for the next few days.
As discussed all of last week, we’ve got a proper East Coast Low developing early next week, in the wake of Sunday’s southerly change.
The current S/SE swell will continue a downwards trend for the next few days, but it’ll be supplemented by a small secondary pulse from the same direction on Thursday afternoon.