Corona Open J'Bay forecast update
After two days of head-high rock runners, the surviving competitors of the J'Bay Open have some proper swell to look forward to with the event expected to end in great surf.
Today will be small with easing sets from the 3ft range, and the organisers have called a layday in advance. However, a low that's currently southwest of South Africa will project a fetch of severe-gale to storm-force W/SW winds through J-Bay's south-western swell window later today, stalling slightly south of the continent.
This will produce a large, long-period SW groundswell with sets building to 6ft+ through Friday afternoon, easing slowly from a similar, if not slightly smaller size, on Saturday morning.
Winds will be offshore Friday morning ahead of a shallow southeast change early-afternoon, with variable tending offshore winds Saturday morning ahead of sea breezes.
Following this, a small reinforcing southwest groundswell is expected on Sunday afternoon, though it's not likely to get above 4ft on the sets. Fortunately, there are bigger and better developments on the cards for the final days of the waiting period.
As indicated in the early forecast, we'll see a strong frontal progression taking place through next week when a slow-moving low with embedded fronts drifts in from the W/SW early next week.
Initially, this will create a 4-5ft southwest groundswell for Tuesday, but moving into Wednesday a vigorous front on the tail of the progression will push up into the South African coast during the morning providing a two-pronged hit of swell. Firstly, there'll be a local increase in S/SW groundswell through Wednesday afternoon, followed by a larger swell as the front continues to aim strong S/SW winds towards the coast.
At this stage it looks like we'll see J'Bay building to 5-6ft Wednesday afternoon, with larger 6-8ft surf on the cards for Thursday along with favourable winds from the western quadrant.
With this there'll be plenty of quality, moderate to large surf for organisers to pick the eyes out of.