Models have invested in the start of the Northern Australian Monsoon (NAM) as the year ends, suggesting a tropical low tracking across the Northern Territory into the Gulf of Carpenteria and then across Cape York Peninsula into the Coral Sea towards the end of next week.
There's an upgrade to the swell due Sunday but winds aren't looking any better. Try and seek some protection.
The run of active surf has come to an end and we've got a very slow forecast period ahead. Hopefully more action into the New Year.
As discussed on Wed, we see a major pattern change next week after the troughy, doldrums pattern this week.
The past week of fun waves across the Mid Coast will be a distant memory on the weekend and early next week with the swell bottoming out along with strong winds from the south-eastern quadrant.
There's been an upgrade in the strength of a frontal progression bringing swell over the coming days but winds will spoil it.
A strong high drifting into the Gulf of Alaska towards the west coast is maintaining a firm ridge extending from the coast of British Columbia into the Central North Pacific, with angular spread from the predominant N’ly fetch producing a N/NE swell for Hawaii’s North Shore.
There's no lack of swell due this period but winds will be a bit all over the place and not ideal.
This swell should hold into Xmas Day, offering up potential for some good, albeit inconsistent surf with prevailing W’ly winds.
We'll see temperatures rise and winds swing slowly more offshore while strengthening but with minimal levels of swell.
