Further ahead and we’ll be tracking a potential south-wards moving coast-hugging low which is expected to form off the NSW or QLD coast later this weekend.
Tomorrow looks smallest ahead of some new swell Wednesday, bigger later week.
Over the weekend another monster high moves well south of the Bight and a series of troughs in the Coral Sea are likely to form either one or multiple surface lows in the basin.
A potentially explosive pattern was mentioned last Mon, for the period leading into the first weekend of July and models are now firming on a strong coast hugging low moving south from the Coral Sea during this time frame. That portends plenty of wind, swell and potentially severe weather.
Fun swells this week with favourable and improving winds, larger on the weekend with an inconsistent, strong W/SW groundswell.
A monster high moving well south of the Bight is expected to rapidly set up a strong ridge along the NSW Coast. Cradled by this ridge will be a very complex series of low pressure troughs, including an interior trough and a broad trough in the Coral Sea, with a potential surface low forming off the QLD or NSW Coast.
Pulses of W/SW swell with clean conditions for the South Coast initially, best on the Mid Coast from Thursday.
Smaller surf but workable winds for most regions over the coming days ahead of a trough and southerly winds later week. There'll be plenty of swell in the mix for the weekend.
During the morning, a low will form in the western Tasman Sea, driving gusty southerly winds along the Mid North Coast into the afternoon ahead of an overnight arrival into SE Qld.
The long term outlook is suggesting a deep polar low will push under Tasmania, driving a powerful front into the Tasman Sea and generating a very larger sustained southerly groundswell event.
