By Wednesday it looks like a classic La Niña map. Strong high just SE of Tasmania with a low in the Central Tasman directing a huge windfield through most of the Central to Northern Tasman Sea.
Plenty of surf days this period, strong Monday morning.
Favourable winds and a large, powerful W/SW groundswell for the weekend.
OK, here we go. We are starting to get some model agreement on a developing easterly trough low expected to form off the Sydney/Hunter coast through tomorrow. There’s still a degree of uncertainty as to the exact position of the low axis, which will make wind f/casts a bit rubbery and really, coming down to a game of kilometres.
Winds are looking good for the South Coast tomorrow before the south-easters kick in, improving mid-next week.
There's plenty of swell inbound but winds will spoil most of it until mid-next week.
A complex trough spanning much of the East Coast will develop over the next few days, of which the latest model guidance is pointing towards a significant easterly trough low (that may become an ECL) slowly evolving from Saturday through the first half of next week.
Looks like a quiet end to the week, with some major model revisions over the last few days - certainly not wiping out the expected major swell event, just shunting it down the timeline a little.
Tricky, refracted southerly swell this period with some additional easterly energy for next week.
Onshore surf tomorrow as we see the size slowly build. Much better from Friday.
