A very active period of surf with building westerly swells over the coming days as winds provide plenty of options for the South Coast and a few windows on the Mid Coast.
The surf will continue to fade into the middle of the week ahead of building surf from the east-northeast on the weekend and more so next week.
Small, slow surf tomorrow with building swell energy from Wednesday as winds favour selected locations for experienced surfers.
Remnants of this weeks Tasman low are expected to drift NE towards the North Island over the weekend and reintensify Sun/Mon with a fetch of severe gales extending out of Cook Strait into the Tasman Sea.
Tiny beginners waves tomorrow and early next week ahead of some better swell energy mid-late in the week.
An extended E’ly pattern then sets up, as high pressure straddles New Zealand and the troughy remnants of the Tasman low squeeze pressure gradients along a long, broad fetch extending through the South Pacific adjacent to the North Island and extending into the Coral Sea. Models show this fetch then further retrograding back towards the Australian East Coast to end the working week.
Large swell pulses over the coming period with mostly onshore winds and limited windows for a clean wave.
Current ASCAT (satellite windspeed) passes show our Tasman low in a great place, slowly drifting E of Tasmania towards New Zealand, maintaining a nice pressure gradient squeeze with a high pressure cell SE of Tasmania. As expected, the low has filled in a bit, with a corresponding lessening of windspeeds, mostly low end gales, compared to the storm force winds of it’s “bombing” phase.
Building westerly swell energy with favourable winds for the South Coast but windows on the Mid.
Fading surf on the weekend but clean on the beaches, with some small, slow swell early next week. A larger mix of swells is due mid-late week with winds from the northern quadrant.
