Good W/SW swell this week, but wind affected

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

South Australian Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 17th February)

Best Days: Mid Coast late tomorrow and Wednesday, Thursday for beginners - Thursday morning desperate surfers South Coast, and similar Sunday morning

Recap

Average to poor surf all weekend with onshore winds and a junky S/SE windswell on the South Coast, flat on the Mid.

Today conditions were cleaner down South but the swell tiny across Middleton, better off across the swell magnets.

This week and weekend (Feb 18 - 21)

After the recent poor run of waves, we look towards the good W/SW groundswell due over the coming days.

This swell has filled in across WA today with large surf across the Margaret River region, on forecast and we should see the swell kicking tomorrow afternoon across our state, kicking to a good 2ft on the Mid Coast and 2-3ft down South.

A peak is expected Wednesday down South with sets to 3ft+, while the Mid Coast should hang in around 2ft, easing slowly into Thursday (tiny on the Mid, dropping 2-3ft down South).

Winds tomorrow still look poor with a strengthening SW tending S/SW breeze, swinging S'ly on dark across the Mid, creating improving surf but only likely for the last half hour or so of light.

Wednesday is better with moderate to fresh S'ly winds, tending S/SE across the Mid Coast at times, while continuing to create poor conditions down South.

Thursday morning looks the best day to surf on the South Coast, though it'll be far from perfect with winds tending E/NE through the morning along with the peaky mix of easing swells from 2-3ft. The Mid will be clean but tiny.

We'll see S'ly winds move back in on Friday with the swell easing further in size.

The weekend again looks hit and miss, with E'ly winds Saturday morning but no decent groundswell, just a peaky S/SE windswell. Sunday is the pick of it though with variable NE offshore winds and an easing mix of swells from 2ft across Middleton, better at more exposed beaches.

Longer term we're looking at an improvement in local winds and good SW groundswell for early next week, but we'll have to have a closer look at this on Wednesday as the models are a little divergent on a possible mid-latitude low forming to our west.

Comments

Sas's picture
Sas's picture
Sas Monday, 17 Feb 2020 at 2:41pm

Thanks Craig. Is there new swell for Sunday or just leftovers like Saturday? Working out whether to go for a drive?

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Monday, 17 Feb 2020 at 2:43pm

Mix of small background swell and leftovers.

sledgedog's picture
sledgedog's picture
sledgedog Tuesday, 18 Feb 2020 at 2:53pm

When did the Middleton Point cam go live?Looks okay,

chrisss_91's picture
chrisss_91's picture
chrisss_91 Tuesday, 18 Feb 2020 at 2:58pm

Thanks for pointing out been hanging for a cam looking that way!

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Tuesday, 18 Feb 2020 at 3:14pm

Today, looks good eh.. well the vision yes, but the waves :/

chrisss_91's picture
chrisss_91's picture
chrisss_91 Tuesday, 18 Feb 2020 at 4:09pm

Waves could use an improvement...

just need one at the bowl now and sa will be set :P